NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	87		Excitement	7.3 [290]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +40.9%
Toronto Raptors	92		Comeback	1.5 [649]		LVP	Reggie Williams (CHA): -20.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.18	0.09	0.08	-0.01	11	67%	0.22	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Derrick Brown	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Byron Mullens	0.04	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.1,0.04	-0.03	0.07	0.00	21	44%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.06
Kemba Walker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
DJ White	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Gerald Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Eduardo Najera	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Williams	-0.21	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	0.00	10	20%	-0.13	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.41	0.41	0.10	0.30	-0.01	22	60%	0.48	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	16	56%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	14	64%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.04
Jamaal Magloire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Uzoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.06
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	30.1	17.6	31.9	2.4	33.5	144.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +49.3%

TOR +1.9%

CHA -12.1%

TOR +11.4%

CHA -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	17.0	16.7	15.6	101.2	108.2	102.8
season	16.3	16.5		94.1	98.9
opponent	15.2	15.0		102.9	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	17.4	16.9	18.1	15.5	17.0
TOR	16.1	15.9	16.1	18.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrus Thomas	10	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-3	1	16.5	17.0	-0.53	15.9	16.8	-0.93
Bismack Biyombo	44	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-8	11	18.0	15.9	2.12	16.5	17.0	-0.47
Kemba Walker	43	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-2	-1	18.0	16.0	1.98	15.5	17.9	-2.45
Eduardo Najera	35	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	2	-9	15.9	17.7	-1.77	15.8	17.3	-1.49
DJ White	30	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-1	-3	16.0	17.5	-1.43	19.5	15.5	4.06
Reggie Williams	55	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-4	3	16.9	17.1	-0.26	15.7	18.5	-2.88
Derrick Brown	54	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-3	1	16.5	17.7	-1.20	17.2	16.0	1.20
D.J. Augustin	43	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.27	-2	-3	1	16.0	18.0	-1.98	17.9	15.5	2.45
Gerald Henderson	62	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.25	-5	0	-5	16.6	17.9	-1.26	17.0	16.0	0.91
Byron Mullens	54	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-3	1	18.4	14.6	3.73	16.6	17.0	-0.38

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrea Bargnani	57	58	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.41	8	-3	11	16.7	16.7	-0.05	18.4	14.0	4.45
Jose Calderon	58	56	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	0	5	16.3	17.6	-1.28	18.4	14.3	4.09
DeMar DeRozan	71	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	-2	9	16.1	20.0	-3.93	17.3	15.6	1.65
Linas Kleiza	51	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	2	1	17.2	16.0	1.20	15.7	18.9	-3.19
Amir Johnson	21	21	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	3	-1	16.8	16.7	0.06	15.7	17.4	-1.72
James Johnson	33	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	-2	9	15.8	17.3	-1.52	19.3	15.5	3.84
Ed Davis	38	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	5	-5	18.9	14.9	4.03	15.4	18.3	-2.97
Alan Anderson	32	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	8	-11	16.2	17.0	-0.75	14.5	18.6	-4.08
Jamaal Magloire	1	0	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	3	-1	18.0	16.7	1.30	0.0	17.0	-16.97
Ben Uzoh	27	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	5	-5	17.6	16.3	1.28	14.3	18.4	-4.09
Aaron Gray	36	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	11	-17	16.2	17.1	-0.91	18.6	15.8	2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.78,0.78,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.73,1	93.4%
NJN 105, LAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.72,0.67,0.73,1	93.2%
CHA 87, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.83,0.84,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.83,1	93.1%