NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	89		Excitement	7.3 [371]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +14.9%
Miami Heat	90		Comeback	1.2 [886]		LVP	Jason Collins (NJN): -16.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.15	0.16	-0.01	0.01	21	73%	0.22	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.02	14	54%	0.05	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.04
Scott Padgett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	10	48%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	9	40%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	3	8%	-0.13	1	-0.04	6	17%	-0.09

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.08	0.01	13	60%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.09
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.07,-0.02,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	18	50%	0.22	2	-0.13	10	70%	-0.08
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.01	9	61%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	10	59%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	3.0	27.6	17.6	26.6	2.3	38.6	137.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +29.2%

MIA +11.8%

MIA +15.3%

NJN -4.1%

NJN -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIA	NBA	NJN	MIA	NBA
this game	16.3	17.8	15.6	106.0	105.9	104.4
season	15.7	15.5		102.1	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.7		102.3	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.9	17.7	14.7	16.1	16.3
MIA	18.2	17.4	18.0	17.4	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	9	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-1	1	18.8	16.0	2.76	15.5	18.0	-2.50
Jacque Vaughn	9	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	2	-5	16.3	16.3	0.03	16.0	17.9	-1.95
Marc Jackson	33	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	6	-13	17.0	15.9	1.14	15.4	19.1	-3.65
Nenad Krstic	36	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	4	-9	16.9	15.9	0.97	18.1	17.5	0.53
Jason Kidd	69	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.49	9	-10	19	16.1	17.4	-1.33	18.5	14.8	3.68
Vince Carter	72	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.43	7	-8	15	16.0	17.9	-1.87	18.4	14.0	4.38
Zoran Planinic	12	13	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	8	-17	17.9	16.0	1.87	14.7	18.3	-3.63
Jason Collins	54	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.40	2	-3	5	16.5	16.0	0.48	18.9	15.7	3.20
Jeff McInnis	51	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.41	0	-1	1	15.6	17.4	-1.79	17.2	18.7	-1.58
Richard Jefferson	75	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.47	1	-2	3	16.0	18.8	-2.76	17.9	16.9	0.98

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	67	67	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.38	11	-10	21	17.0	20.4	-3.40	15.9	17.9	-2.05
Antoine Walker	58	58	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.17	15	-14	29	16.6	20.2	-3.55	16.3	16.3	0.06
Alonzo Mourning	67	65	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.46	0	1	-1	18.1	16.4	1.75	16.7	14.9	1.76
Gary Payton	60	60	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.49	-6	7	-13	17.8	17.6	0.23	15.9	17.4	-1.49
Dwyane Wade	62	60	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.42	-6	7	-13	18.5	15.7	2.78	16.2	16.7	-0.50
Udonis Haslem	72	72	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.28	-4	5	-9	18.1	15.8	2.36	16.5	15.3	1.14
Jason Kapono	39	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	6	-11	18.1	17.5	0.58	16.9	15.8	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.89,0.96,0.97,1	94.1%
CHI 91, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.84,1	94.0%
LAL 74, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	93.7%