NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	117		Excitement	10.4 [61]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): +74.9%
Chicago Bulls	114		Comeback	4.6 [387]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (CHI): -19.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0.66	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.66	0.18	0.46	-0.02	17	82%	0.80	5	-0.13	5	80%	0.03
Malik Monk	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.12	0.20	-0.00	10	86%	0.42	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Huerter	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.27	0.12	0.15	0.00	10	71%	0.27	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	10	61%	0.16	3	-0.09	3	67%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	10	57%	0.05	0	0.00	10	90%	0.05
Chimezie Metu	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Terence Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	5	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Davion Mitchell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.75	0.75	0.18	0.58	0.01	20	65%	0.78	2	-0.03	11	82%	0.03
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	12	54%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.05	0.00	7	86%	0.11	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.02,-0.12,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.00	22	47%	0.03	2	-0.10	9	100%	0.05
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.12	0.01	22	41%	-0.15	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	26.5	14.6	28.2	2.3	40.4	139.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +99.7%

CHI -29.0%

CHI -11.7%

CHI -8.9%

SAC +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHI	NBA	SAC	CHI	NBA
this game	13.1	14.4	14.4	111.4	109.6	113.4
season	13.5	14.1		117.3	112.0
opponent	14.9	14.8		110.9	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.5	12.8	12.5	14.8	13.1
CHI	15.2	14.9	14.7	12.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	60	56	1.38	-0.88	2.26	0.62	26	-23	49	12.7	13.6	-0.91	15.7	12.9	2.79
Harrison Barnes	75	76	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.34	13	-10	23	12.6	14.4	-1.74	15.4	11.9	3.54
Domantas Sabonis	87	87	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.40	10	-7	17	12.8	14.8	-2.06	14.9	12.1	2.78
De'Aaron Fox	72	70	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	-2	7	13.3	12.8	0.45	14.5	14.4	0.05
Malik Monk	53	50	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.44	-5	8	-13	13.9	12.3	1.65	13.2	15.6	-2.32
Davion Mitchell	34	36	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.17	-5	8	-13	12.5	13.4	-0.92	13.8	14.8	-0.93
Terence Davis	9	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	5	-7	13.9	13.1	0.84	16.2	14.3	1.94
Keegan Murray	65	66	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.20	4	-1	5	13.1	13.1	-0.00	15.2	13.2	2.02
Chimezie Metu	17	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	7	-11	15.2	12.7	2.52	13.4	14.7	-1.30
Alex Len	12	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	13.5	13.1	0.42	11.0	14.8	-3.81
Kessler Edwards	41	42	-0.71	1.21	-1.92	-0.06	-22	25	-47	13.4	12.9	0.48	11.7	16.3	-4.66

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Williams	56	56	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.16	13	-16	29	13.1	16.1	-3.01	13.1	13.1	0.04
Andre Drummond	28	29	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.04	6	-9	15	13.2	14.9	-1.73	14.1	12.8	1.31
Coby White	63	63	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-8	13	13.4	16.0	-2.53	13.5	12.6	0.84
Dalen Terry	14	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	2	-7	14.9	14.4	0.56	12.1	13.3	-1.23
Ayo Dosunmu	60	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	1	-5	15.0	13.7	1.32	13.1	13.2	-0.10
Zach LaVine	76	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	0	-3	14.8	13.5	1.29	13.1	13.3	-0.27
Patrick Beverley	60	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.29	-8	5	-13	15.6	12.9	2.74	13.2	13.0	0.29
DeMar DeRozan	87	88	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.35	-11	8	-19	14.5	14.2	0.32	13.1	13.3	-0.20
Nikola Vucevic	76	75	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.47	-8	5	-13	14.9	13.2	1.73	12.7	14.1	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.71,0.82,0.73,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.78,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.47,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 103, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.02,0	91.5%
NJN 88, HOU 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0	91.1%
PHI 112, CLE 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.6,0.47,0.38,0.16,0.32,0.16,0	90.5%