NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	88		Excitement	6.0 [596]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): +13.3%
Houston Rockets	77		Comeback	3.6 [136]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -17.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.13	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.08	0.01	18	63%	0.19	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.05
Richard Jefferson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	11	61%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.04
Lucious Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jason Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.06	-0.09	0.03	17	54%	0.02	5	-0.20	5	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	16	65%	0.13	4	-0.11	8	62%	-0.04
Mike Wilks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	9	37%	-0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	7	65%	-0.01	5	-0.15	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	29.2	16.7	30.4	2.7	30.3	134.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +8.3%

NJN +28.1%

NJN +3.4%

NJN +6.3%

NJN +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	HOU	NBA	NJN	HOU	NBA
this game	16.0	17.5	15.7	102.3	89.5	100.5
season	15.3	16.5		98.1	98.8
opponent	15.6	16.2		97.1	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.8	17.4	14.3	16.5	16.0
HOU	17.7	17.7	16.3	18.7	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	78	79	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.17	20	-9	29	15.7	18.4	-2.67	17.9	13.4	4.47
Jason Collins	58	57	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	1	9	15.6	16.7	-1.13	17.9	16.8	1.17
Kerry Kittles	72	71	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.12	14	-3	17	15.7	17.4	-1.76	17.1	19.6	-2.50
Richard Jefferson	77	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	5	1	16.0	15.9	0.07	16.4	26.5	-10.14
Kenyon Martin	73	75	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	-4	19	15.9	16.1	-0.15	17.9	15.0	2.91
Aaron Williams	20	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	9	-7	15.9	16.0	-0.00	18.4	17.2	1.18
Rodney Rogers	23	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	15	-19	16.8	15.6	1.19	18.2	17.3	0.87
Zoran Planinic	4	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	15	-19	15.7	16.0	-0.21	15.0	17.7	-2.66
Lucious Harris	25	25	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.10	-4	15	-19	17.7	15.2	2.43	18.3	17.2	1.05

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	22	20	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.05	2	-13	15	20.7	16.4	4.29	16.9	15.7	1.30
Bostjan Nachbar	6	6	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-11	11	13.7	17.8	-4.16	17.0	15.9	1.12
Mike Wilks	1	0	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-9	7	1.0	17.7	-16.73	0.0	16.0	-15.95
Clar. Weatherspoon	5	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-8	5	28.6	16.9	11.75	16.0	16.0	0.05
Scott Padgett	16	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-10	9	17.9	17.5	0.42	16.0	15.9	0.06
Kelvin Cato	48	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-4	-3	18.1	16.8	1.29	15.8	16.2	-0.37
Maurice Taylor	52	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-2	-7	17.6	17.4	0.20	16.5	15.1	1.33
Jim Jackson	74	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-3	-5	17.1	20.3	-3.25	15.9	16.5	-0.68
Yao Ming	55	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-8	5	17.2	18.2	-1.03	15.6	16.6	-1.04
Steve Francis	81	82	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	1	-13	17.1	23.8	-6.65	16.0	15.7	0.21
Cuttino Mobley	70	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.21	-12	1	-13	17.0	19.9	-2.87	15.7	17.3	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 113, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.1,0.02,0.02,0	91.3%
DAL 100, OKC 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.53,0.68,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.1,0.1,0.01,0,0	91.2%
MIA 85, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.26,0.16,0.06,0.09,0	91.1%