NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	113		Excitement	8.4 [219]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (LAL): +42.0%
Sacramento Kings	108		Comeback	3.9 [370]		LVP	Garrett Temple (SAC): -15.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.42	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.30	0.15	0.02	20	79%	0.42	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22	0.05	0.15	-0.03	11	61%	0.24	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.08
Kyle Kuzma	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.01	9	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	12	46%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	12	41%	0.01	4	-0.10	5	0%	-0.07

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.02	16	64%	0.18	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.02
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.01	13	45%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	17	62%	0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	14	46%	0.02	2	-0.08	11	55%	-0.06
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	-0.00	9	40%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	4	37%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	28.3	14.6	27.4	1.8	35.2	134.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +43.1%

LAL +0.3%

LAL +2.6%

LAL +3.6%

LAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.1	15.3	14.7	120.2	113.7	107.5
season	13.7	15.4		105.7	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.8		110.1	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	16.9	14.4	14.2	15.1
SAC	12.5	16.6	16.9	15.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	73	74	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.29	20	-15	35	14.3	18.2	-3.93	16.1	12.5	3.67
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	76	76	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.43	10	-5	15	14.6	17.4	-2.85	15.1	16.2	-1.09
Brandon Ingram	78	77	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-1	7	14.7	17.1	-2.32	15.3	15.5	-0.20
Brook Lopez	48	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-6	17	14.9	15.3	-0.41	15.7	14.9	0.84
Isaiah Thomas	45	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	4	-3	15.9	14.5	1.40	15.1	15.6	-0.48
Josh Hart	61	65	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	1	3	14.7	16.0	-1.37	15.1	15.9	-0.82
Kyle Kuzma	44	44	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.39	-8	13	-21	15.3	15.0	0.38	14.6	16.0	-1.39
Corey Brewer	23	24	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.04	-8	13	-21	17.5	14.4	3.10	16.1	15.1	1.00
Ivica Zubac	23	23	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.02	-9	14	-23	18.0	14.2	3.73	13.7	15.8	-2.11

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Skal Labissiere	50	51	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.24	13	-18	31	14.0	16.9	-2.91	15.9	14.2	1.76
Kosta Koufos	26	26	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.16	10	-15	25	15.6	15.2	0.38	16.7	14.5	2.20
Garrett Temple	30	31	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.20	10	-15	25	16.1	15.0	1.16	17.7	13.9	3.88
Frank Mason	27	28	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-10	15	15.9	15.1	0.77	17.2	14.3	2.96
Vince Carter	11	11	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-7	9	16.7	15.2	1.57	17.1	14.9	2.21
Buddy Hield	59	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-8	11	16.0	14.3	1.66	15.9	13.9	1.93
Justin Jackson	31	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	6	-17	14.5	15.7	-1.17	13.4	16.0	-2.55
Zach Randolph	41	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	10	-25	15.7	15.1	0.57	14.0	16.0	-1.99
Bogdan Bogdanovic	64	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.22	-11	6	-17	14.9	16.3	-1.46	13.9	17.7	-3.88
De'Aaron Fox	63	61	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	8	-21	14.8	16.5	-1.71	14.0	17.3	-3.29
Willie Cauley-Stein	73	72	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.36	-18	13	-31	16.0	13.1	2.86	14.6	16.8	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.1,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 100, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.63,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.41,0.3,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.19,0.04,0.03,0,0	92.8%
WAS 100, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.02,0	92.2%
ATL 79, MIL 72	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.46,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.05,0.09,0	91.8%