NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	100		Excitement	6.8 [425]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): +28.6%
Chicago Bulls	86		Comeback	3.1 [580]		LVP	Aaron Gray (CHI): -13.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.29	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.23	0.09	0.03	15	82%	0.30	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0.15	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.08	0.02	21	57%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David West	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.08	0.00	20	57%	0.26	6	-0.19	7	71%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.01	5	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.07
Bobby Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.04	0.03	15	68%	0.21	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.05
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.04	0.08	-0.05	11	55%	0.16	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	4	40%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	12	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	7	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	11	37%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	15	50%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.6	32.4	15.6	22.2	2.3	30.3	126.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +44.9%

CHI -1.3%

CHI -12.2%

NOH +18.8%

CHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CHI	NBA	NOH	CHI	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.4	111.1	95.6	105.7
season	15.9	15.0		109.6	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		105.4	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	18.3	14.4	13.8	18.7	16.1
CHI	16.9	16.3	15.0	15.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	72	73	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.18	21	-7	28	16.0	16.6	-0.64	15.4	18.2	-2.88
Chris Paul	74	75	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.11	22	-8	30	16.0	16.6	-0.64	15.2	19.6	-4.44
Tyson Chandler	72	73	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.05	24	-10	34	16.2	15.8	0.33	16.1	14.9	1.25
David West	84	84	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.15	16	-2	18	15.7	21.0	-5.25	15.6	20.0	-4.39
Rasual Butler	47	46	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.17	18	-4	22	15.0	17.3	-2.26	15.1	16.7	-1.62
Ryan Bowen	36	36	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.21	1	13	-12	16.5	15.8	0.67	17.4	14.9	2.53
Bobby Jackson	18	17	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.09	-7	21	-28	16.6	16.0	0.64	18.2	15.4	2.88
Jannero Pargo	23	23	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.02	-13	27	-40	18.0	15.4	2.61	17.5	15.3	2.18
Hilton Armstrong	24	23	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.02	-12	26	-38	17.1	15.7	1.40	16.2	15.8	0.43

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	20	21	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.09	2	-16	18	17.6	15.4	2.25	16.5	16.0	0.49
Joakim Noah	41	41	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.02	-1	-13	12	15.6	16.2	-0.62	16.3	15.9	0.35
Tyrus Thomas	16	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-13	12	17.2	15.6	1.57	14.3	16.5	-2.12
Chris Duhon	61	59	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.11	-5	-9	4	16.0	15.6	0.41	14.9	18.3	-3.34
Kirk Hinrich	47	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.21	-9	-5	-4	15.3	16.6	-1.30	17.0	15.1	1.88
Andres Nocioni	74	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.10	-13	-1	-12	15.6	17.2	-1.57	16.5	14.3	2.12
Thabo Sefolosha	72	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	0	-14	16.2	14.7	1.47	16.4	14.5	1.95
Joe Smith	52	52	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	-1	-12	15.7	16.2	-0.54	16.1	16.1	-0.05
Ben Wallace	67	66	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.16	-16	2	-18	15.8	16.3	-0.54	15.9	16.7	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.63,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.41,0.3,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.19,0.04,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 113, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.1,0.02,0.02,0	92.8%
NJN 99, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.15,0.02,0	92.0%
UTA 100, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.01,0.01,0	91.2%