NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	99		Excitement	7.5 [366]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +26.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	3.6 [180]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -30.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.27	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.05	0.19	-0.02	19	62%	0.30	2	-0.04	14	86%	0.07
Clifford Robinson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.09	0.02	11	64%	0.16	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Travis Best	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	78%	0.09	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Jabari Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	5	40%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	14	54%	0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	10	20%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	78%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.03	9	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.05	0.02	12	54%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	28	58%	0.20	9	-0.30	8	100%	0.05
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.26,-0.26,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.24	-0.08	-0.01	18	26%	-0.18	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	29.3	14.7	23.3	1.7	36.0	132.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +27.5%

NJN +5.1%

NJN +4.8%

NJN +10.4%

NJN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	13.5	15.5	97.1	94.9	104.0
season	16.0	13.9		99.2	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.6		101.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.0	17.5	14.5	14.5	15.3
PHI	15.0	13.8	13.7	11.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	92	88	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-4	14	15.1	17.0	-1.91	13.5	13.3	0.21
Jason Collins	87	83	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-2	10	15.3	14.9	0.48	13.8	11.7	2.07
Vince Carter	91	87	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	1	4	15.1	16.8	-1.73	13.6	12.5	1.17
Ron Mercer	42	40	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	2	2	16.5	14.4	2.12	12.6	14.1	-1.42
Travis Best	42	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	0	6	13.8	16.3	-2.53	13.6	13.4	0.21
Clifford Robinson	61	60	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	6	-6	15.9	14.4	1.52	12.7	14.7	-1.99
Nenad Krstic	53	50	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	0	6	14.5	16.1	-1.67	14.2	12.8	1.37
Rodney Buford	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.00	1	5	-4	18.1	15.1	3.08	12.9	13.5	-0.68
Jabari Smith	3	3	-0.07	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	8	-10	15.0	15.3	-0.28	9.0	13.6	-4.63
Jacque Vaughn	32	31	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.01	-8	14	-22	16.0	14.9	1.10	14.1	13.2	0.94

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	18	17	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-9	12	12.7	13.7	-0.94	16.9	15.0	1.93
Aaron McKie	25	26	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-8	10	12.6	13.8	-1.25	18.4	14.2	4.23
Rodney Rogers	46	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-8	10	12.2	14.6	-2.44	16.0	14.7	1.28
Samuel Dalembert	28	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-3	0	15.1	12.8	2.26	13.5	16.1	-2.54
Marc Jackson	47	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-2	-2	13.5	13.5	-0.00	17.5	13.4	4.05
Andre Iguodala	84	87	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.23	-9	3	-12	13.8	11.6	2.24	14.7	18.4	-3.66
Chris Webber	75	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	1	-8	13.7	12.9	0.81	14.3	18.9	-4.58
Allen Iverson	90	94	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	2	-10	13.7	11.6	2.03	15.2	16.5	-1.33
Kyle Korver	77	82	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.40	-6	0	-6	13.4	13.7	-0.29	14.6	17.9	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 100, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.02,0	94.7%
WAS 99, BKN 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.27,0.2,0.1,0.05,0,0	93.4%
IND 87, CHH 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0	93.2%