inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 87 Excitement5.8 [392] MVPSam Perkins (IND): +16.4%
Charlotte Hornets 81 Comeback2.9 [150] LVPDavid Wesley (CHH): -15.8%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Perkins0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.060.10-0.004111%0.212-0.041100%0.01
Rik Smits0.050,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.03-0.001065%0.122-0.07683%0.02
Antonio Davis0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.040.010.040.01574%0.102-0.07989%0.03
Dale Davis0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.02-0.00540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Fred Hoiberg-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Jackson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.01250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Travis Best-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.02744%0.001-0.024100%0.03
Chris Mullin-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01250%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Jalen Rose-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06-0.090.03-0.001336%-0.022-0.04250%-0.01
Reggie Miller-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.001450%-0.014-0.128100%0.05

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.06-0.02970%0.141-0.01250%-0.01
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.00483%0.081-0.024100%0.03
Corey Beck0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Eldridge Recasner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0030%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Elden Campbell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.001150%-0.012-0.07475%-0.00
Derrick Coleman0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.040.041559%0.044-0.132100%0.01
Eddie Jones0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.001545%-0.012-0.08887%0.01
Chuck Person0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.0150%-0.1000.0010%-0.01
David Wesley0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.10-0.06-0.00933%-0.053-0.1100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.21.026.114.825.02.039.2135.3
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +34.0%
IND +26.8%
CHH -16.5%
IND +3.7%
IND +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDCHHNBAINDCHHNBA
this game14.916.915.895.690.099.6
season16.415.7105.499.2
opponent15.516.099.4101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND12.717.316.914.014.9
CHH13.017.021.817.516.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rik Smits47470.52-0.020.540.1712-61815.314.50.8018.415.23.24
Reggie Miller74740.440.060.390.2760615.014.60.3516.618.3-1.72
Jalen Rose64620.300.200.100.3006-614.915.0-0.0415.819.4-3.67
Travis Best45440.270.230.040.30-17-815.514.41.1417.216.60.55
Mark Jackson46460.230.27-0.040.027-1814.415.5-1.1416.617.2-0.55
Chris Mullin27280.200.30-0.100.0260615.014.90.0419.415.83.67
Antonio Davis59580.180.32-0.150.35-612-1815.414.21.2015.719.1-3.45
Dale Davis39380.160.34-0.19-0.0260615.414.60.7418.016.11.90
Sam Perkins35350.140.36-0.210.1115-413.715.7-2.0816.217.3-1.15
Fred Hoiberg19180.060.44-0.380.09-17-813.915.2-1.3117.116.80.26

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brad Miller24240.20-0.700.90-0.069-152413.218.2-4.9815.214.80.37
Eldridge Recasner3437-0.01-0.490.49-0.217-132016.017.4-1.4015.614.41.20
Corey Beck910-0.08-0.420.33-0.05-1-5419.816.63.2015.714.80.86
Ricky Davis2625-0.12-0.380.25-0.120-6614.817.7-2.8914.415.1-0.74
Chuck Person2727-0.25-0.25-0.010.04-104-1419.116.03.1613.715.5-1.75
David Wesley7372-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.23-2-4216.518.6-2.1515.214.01.18
Elden Campbell6062-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.15-82-1018.214.33.8515.114.60.46
Chucky Brown4142-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.22-82-1016.617.2-0.6213.516.2-2.75
Eddie Jones8687-0.500.00-0.50-0.30-71-816.721.0-4.2914.720.0-5.30
Derrick Coleman7069-0.600.10-0.70-0.31-104-1417.913.54.3715.812.13.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 108, TOR 1000.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.02,0,0.01,0,094.2%
LAC 98, HOU 930.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.47,0.28,0.42,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.05,0,0,0,093.8%
ORL 90, CHA 850.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.06,0,093.8%