NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	112		Excitement	9.4 [98]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +36.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Comeback	3.3 [646]		LVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): -16.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.37	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.37	0.18	0.20	0.00	26	61%	0.45	3	-0.08	20	85%	0.07
James Harden	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.12,0.19	-0.00	0.18	-0.01	13	55%	0.32	4	-0.13	12	92%	0.09
Georges Niang	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	4	80%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
DeAndre Jordan	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	48%	0.05	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	14	33%	-0.14	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.07	0.21	-0.00	12	62%	0.31	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	0.01	10	67%	0.17	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	18	55%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.11
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.03	14	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	-0.02	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Moses Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	8	41%	-0.03	2	0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	27.6	15.4	29.2	1.8	37.3	141.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -8.6%

PHI +31.0%

PHI +32.5%

CLE -7.9%

PHI +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	14.5	114.3	108.0	110.8
season	15.2	15.2		112.4	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.6		108.5	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.5	15.2	14.1	17.1	14.4
CLE	15.6	13.1	15.9	14.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	76	78	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.26	16	-12	28	14.3	14.9	-0.59	15.1	13.4	1.69
Georges Niang	45	44	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.24	16	-12	28	13.4	15.3	-1.91	16.1	13.5	2.60
James Harden	81	83	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	15.0	11.8	3.20	14.4	15.9	-1.45
Tyrese Maxey	58	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	-1	6	14.7	13.9	0.82	15.2	13.9	1.22
Matisse Thybulle	47	51	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.38	2	2	0	15.2	13.7	1.46	14.7	14.6	0.09
Shake Milton	32	31	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	2	0	11.7	15.7	-3.95	16.7	13.8	2.89
Tobias Harris	73	78	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.20	-6	10	-16	15.7	10.7	4.95	13.7	18.3	-4.61
Danny Green	40	37	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	6	-8	12.8	15.5	-2.76	14.4	14.9	-0.48
Furkan Korkmaz	16	16	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	9	-14	14.7	14.4	0.33	11.7	15.2	-3.49
DeAndre Jordan	22	22	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.12	-12	16	-28	14.9	14.3	0.59	13.4	15.1	-1.69

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed Davis	14	14	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.02	6	-10	16	13.5	14.9	-1.37	13.3	14.6	-1.31
Cedi Osman	16	16	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.00	5	-9	14	11.7	15.2	-3.49	14.7	14.4	0.33
Kevin Love	48	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-4	4	13.8	15.5	-1.63	12.3	16.5	-4.19
Rajon Rondo	29	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	0	-4	15.3	14.4	0.89	12.8	15.1	-2.27
Moses Brown	40	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-10	6	-16	15.8	13.9	1.91	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Lamar Stevens	56	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-6	8	13.5	16.2	-2.76	14.5	14.3	0.17
Darius Garland	78	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-4	4	14.4	15.6	-1.23	15.2	12.0	3.20
Isaac Okoro	65	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	2	-8	15.2	13.8	1.35	15.2	13.0	2.27
Lauri Markkanen	77	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	2	-8	15.3	12.6	2.75	15.6	10.6	5.02
Caris LeVert	77	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	3	-10	15.3	12.5	2.80	14.2	15.0	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.6,0.47,0.38,0.16,0.32,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.15,0.26,0	91.6%
TOR 99, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.22,0.16,0.16,0	91.4%
NOP 117, IND 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.86,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.16,0	91.4%