NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	115		Excitement	10.0 [83]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (MIA): +16.7%
Miami Heat	119		Comeback	2.5 [839]		LVP	Simone Fontecchio (UTA): -15.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.00	6	67%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.01	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	4	70%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Lauri Markkanen	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.41,0.41,0.16,0.06,0.05	0.19	-0.13	0.01	26	66%	0.12	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Kris Dunn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	5	64%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Damian Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	-0.00	11	58%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Johnny Juzang	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.14,-0.14	-0.18	0.01	-0.04	13	32%	0.10	6	-0.24	2	100%	0.01
Simone Fontecchio	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.17,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15	0.08	-0.21	0.03	17	64%	0.05	3	-0.20	2	100%	0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	0.01	5	110%	0.21	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.00	6	69%	0.20	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.02	0.03	9	90%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,0.13	0.13	-0.01	0.14	0.00	16	47%	0.23	2	-0.10	6	100%	0.05
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	61%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.01	14	56%	0.12	1	-0.09	15	87%	-0.03
Omer Yurtseven	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	57%	0.17	3	-0.19	8	75%	0.01
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	31.4	14.6	26.1	2.5	31.6	134.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +25.8%

MIA +37.9%

UTA -23.1%

MIA +9.5%

UTA -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIA	NBA	UTA	MIA	NBA
this game	12.8	15.4	14.4	113.9	115.5	113.4
season	14.3	15.1		114.4	111.9
opponent	14.6	14.1		112.1	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	12.6	12.2	12.5	14.0	12.8
MIA	15.5	15.5	14.6	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Jones	30	31	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.13	10	-14	24	10.6	13.8	-3.16	14.4	15.8	-1.43
Juan Toscano-Anderson	24	25	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.12	8	-12	20	11.6	13.2	-1.57	15.8	15.2	0.60
Kelly Olynyk	49	48	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-1	-2	13.8	11.9	1.89	16.1	14.7	1.42
Kris Dunn	45	48	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.25	7	-11	18	11.3	14.1	-2.76	15.7	15.1	0.64
Johnny Juzang	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-2	0	12.1	12.9	-0.73	10.9	15.7	-4.86
Rudy Gay	33	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	5	-14	12.7	12.9	-0.14	14.9	15.7	-0.80
Lauri Markkanen	79	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-5	6	13.1	11.8	1.28	15.1	16.4	-1.34
Simone Fontecchio	62	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.48	1	-5	6	12.3	13.6	-1.33	15.5	15.3	0.20
Talen Horton-Tucker	56	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	7	-18	14.1	11.3	2.76	15.1	15.7	-0.64
Walker Kessler	61	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	7	-18	13.6	11.6	2.06	15.6	15.1	0.44
Ochai Agbaji	59	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	7	-18	13.1	12.5	0.63	16.1	14.4	1.74

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bam Adebayo	79	79	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.64	5	-1	6	14.6	18.0	-3.35	13.0	12.3	0.64
Gabe Vincent	57	57	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.26	15	-11	26	15.2	15.7	-0.52	13.8	11.5	2.26
Tyler Herro	80	78	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.33	10	-6	16	15.2	16.0	-0.79	13.6	10.1	3.48
Jimmy Butler	65	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	-5	14	16.0	14.3	1.66	13.4	11.9	1.51
Caleb Martin	57	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.48	-6	10	-16	15.4	15.4	-0.01	12.3	13.5	-1.28
Kevin Love	46	45	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.08	10	-6	16	15.4	15.4	0.01	13.4	12.4	1.04
Victor Oladipo	47	46	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.27	-6	10	-16	15.2	15.6	-0.36	11.5	13.9	-2.43
Kyle Lowry	43	41	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	12	-20	15.1	15.6	-0.51	11.6	13.6	-2.00
Max Strus	17	16	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	12	-20	15.9	15.3	0.66	10.4	13.3	-2.83
Omer Yurtseven	24	22	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.26	-1	5	-6	18.0	14.6	3.35	12.3	13.0	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 97, CHA 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.38,0.54,0.32,0.42,1	91.5%
PHX 96, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.42,1	91.1%
ATL 87, TOR 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.58,1	90.7%