NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	96		Excitement	9.0 [133]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +64.1%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	3.2 [621]		LVP	Gerald Green (PHX): -27.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Plumlee	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.24,0.24	0.04	0.20	0.00	12	58%	0.27	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	0.01	13	82%	0.25	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.09,0.09	-0.12	0.15	-0.05	7	21%	0.13	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dionte Christmas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,-0.2	0.05	-0.24	0.01	12	52%	-0.20	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Gerald Green	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.08,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.27	-0.04	-0.23	0.01	13	58%	0.06	5	-0.34	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.64	0.64	0.09	0.56	0.01	15	65%	0.68	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.14	-0.00	11	86%	0.35	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	90%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	6	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	11	41%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	14	37%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.17	-0.17	0.04	-0.18	0.02	12	61%	-0.07	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.6	27.4	15.5	22.3	2.4	31.5	123.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +19.6%

SAS +4.7%

SAS +2.5%

SAS +21.4%

SAS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	15.1	97.0	100.0	105.2
season	14.7	15.0		107.7	109.8
opponent	15.0	14.9		101.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.3	12.4	13.8	17.4	15.1
SAS	10.7	13.8	17.0	15.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Archie Goodwin	22	21	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.06	9	-12	21	12.1	15.9	-3.77	14.2	14.0	0.28
Ish Smith	37	37	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.18	12	-15	27	14.6	15.3	-0.67	13.8	14.2	-0.38
Dionte Christmas	32	32	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.13	7	-10	17	13.6	15.8	-2.18	14.0	14.0	0.02
Channing Frye	41	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-1	-1	15.7	14.6	1.09	13.5	14.4	-0.82
Marcus Morris	54	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-8	13	14.5	15.8	-1.30	14.0	14.0	0.04
Markieff Morris	64	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.39	8	-11	19	13.9	17.2	-3.25	14.0	14.1	-0.06
PJ Tucker	57	56	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.29	-12	9	-21	16.0	13.8	2.15	14.3	13.7	0.61
Miles Plumlee	57	56	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.19	-16	13	-29	16.0	13.8	2.27	14.2	13.8	0.36
Eric Bledsoe	62	62	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.23	-15	12	-27	15.3	14.6	0.67	14.2	13.8	0.38
Gerald Green	69	71	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.37	-11	8	-19	16.3	12.3	4.02	13.9	14.3	-0.42

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	55	56	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-5	13	13.4	14.8	-1.44	14.3	16.0	-1.68
Tim Duncan	57	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-7	17	14.3	13.6	0.66	15.9	13.9	1.98
Tony Parker	62	62	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	-2	7	14.6	13.1	1.46	15.2	14.9	0.33
Boris Diaw	55	52	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.42	-2	5	-7	14.1	13.9	0.24	15.7	14.3	1.43
Marco Belinelli	64	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	-1	5	14.6	12.9	1.71	15.3	14.7	0.56
Danny Green	73	73	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.38	-5	8	-13	14.6	12.3	2.27	14.8	15.8	-0.95
Kawhi Leonard	58	58	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	-1	5	13.3	15.0	-1.67	14.9	15.3	-0.38
Cory Joseph	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	4	-5	16.5	13.9	2.58	21.0	14.8	6.18
Patty Mills	37	37	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	5	-7	13.1	14.6	-1.46	14.9	15.2	-0.33
Tiago Splitter	24	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	6	-9	12.1	14.6	-2.50	13.4	15.6	-2.24
Jeff Ayres	6	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	6	-9	15.2	13.9	1.22	13.5	15.2	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 74, ATL 76	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.67,0.42,1	91.0%
DAL 66, UTA 68	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.55,0.57,1	90.9%
PHI 91, MEM 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	90.7%