NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	9.4 [112]		MVP	Dario Saric (PHI): +19.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	96		Comeback	3.7 [487]		LVP	Andrew Harrison (MEM): -21.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.19	0.07	0.13	0.01	12	63%	0.25	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.06
Gerald Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	0.03	-0.12	0.01	19	51%	-0.02	2	-0.08	7	71%	-0.02
Nik Stauskas	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	10	40%	-0.11	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.08
Richaun Holmes	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	13	37%	-0.08	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
TJ McConnell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	3	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	7	36%	0.01	3	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.12	0.00	16	33%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	17	59%	0.20	4	-0.17	10	80%	0.08
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	14	34%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	54%	0.05	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.03
Wade Baldwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	55%	0.06	3	-0.11	8	87%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	7	56%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Andrew Harrison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	9	11%	-0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	31.0	15.5	30.5	2.4	38.3	145.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -26.5%

MEM +34.6%

MEM +18.9%

MEM +19.1%

MEM +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MEM	NBA	PHI	MEM	NBA
this game	14.5	14.4	14.8	91.9	96.0	107.7
season	14.5	16.1		101.9	106.4
opponent	14.9	14.4		106.7	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.5	15.8	13.4	15.8	14.5
MEM	12.7	17.0	13.3	15.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	34	35	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-8	11	13.7	14.9	-1.26	14.6	14.4	0.20
Sergio Rodriguez	50	49	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.05	-1	-4	3	14.4	14.7	-0.29	13.9	15.0	-1.06
Ersan Ilyasova	84	81	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-10	15	14.1	16.7	-2.55	15.1	11.8	3.27
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	32	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-5	5	14.5	14.5	-0.05	14.1	14.6	-0.59
Hollis Thompson	46	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	1	-7	15.1	14.0	1.05	13.6	15.2	-1.53
Richaun Holmes	70	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	2	-9	15.6	11.9	3.69	13.5	16.8	-3.31
Nik Stauskas	80	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	14.1	16.1	-1.92	14.9	12.8	2.06
TJ McConnell	49	51	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	-1	-3	14.7	14.4	0.29	15.0	13.9	1.06
Dario Saric	50	51	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.38	-11	6	-17	14.3	14.7	-0.41	15.0	13.8	1.22

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	46	46	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.66	6	-1	7	14.7	14.2	0.55	14.4	14.6	-0.13
Marc Gasol	72	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.27	8	-3	11	14.5	14.3	0.21	14.2	15.3	-1.09
Troy Daniels	52	51	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-9	23	14.0	14.9	-0.84	14.3	14.7	-0.39
JaMychal Green	73	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	-3	11	13.9	15.8	-1.83	14.8	13.7	1.05
Tony Allen	59	59	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	-2	9	13.1	16.4	-3.26	14.2	15.0	-0.79
Andrew Harrison	59	57	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	-1	7	14.3	14.6	-0.25	14.6	14.3	0.30
Wade Baldwin	47	48	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	7	-9	15.1	13.8	1.30	14.3	14.7	-0.37
Jarell Martin	19	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	8	-11	15.2	14.3	0.95	14.5	14.5	0.06
Toney Douglas	11	11	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.03	-8	13	-21	15.1	14.4	0.73	15.5	14.4	1.17
Troy Williams	62	61	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	-0.13	-11	16	-27	15.6	12.6	2.96	14.9	13.9	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 90, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.58,1	92.5%
MIA 80, TOR 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	91.2%
PHX 96, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.42,1	90.7%