NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	90		Excitement	8.4 [178]		MVP	Desmond Mason (SEA): +31.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	96		Comeback	2.8 [489]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -25.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.11	0.03	0.09	0.01	19	51%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.06	0.01	-0.03	17	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	10	60%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	10	38%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	6	45%	-0.08	2	-0.10	10	60%	-0.08
Kenyon Martin	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.14,-0.26,-0.26	-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	14	27%	-0.20	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.13	0.19	0.01	11	81%	0.36	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	12	69%	0.16	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.07
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.01	6	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.09	-0.00	20	48%	0.11	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Art Long	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.01	4	70%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	9	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	6	14%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	7	33%	-0.08	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	2.6	26.0	15.8	26.2	2.6	34.4	128.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +20.5%

SEA +43.5%

NJN -14.4%

NJN -5.9%

SEA +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SEA	NBA	NJN	SEA	NBA
this game	16.8	15.6	15.6	102.3	106.7	102.3
season	14.7	16.0		101.4	106.3
opponent	15.8	16.0		103.9	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.5	18.4	14.8	17.6	16.8
SEA	13.0	17.6	17.9	14.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	34	36	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.18	7	-13	20	17.4	16.3	1.11	17.3	14.5	2.82
Richard Jefferson	39	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.27	7	-13	20	17.2	16.4	0.70	17.1	14.4	2.73
Aaron Williams	31	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	3	-12	16.8	16.8	0.02	14.4	16.3	-1.87
Jason Collins	57	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-9	12	16.8	16.8	-0.02	16.3	14.4	1.87
Kenyon Martin	69	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	1	-8	16.3	18.4	-2.05	14.7	19.1	-4.43
Jason Kidd	73	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	3	-12	16.4	18.5	-2.14	15.4	16.6	-1.16
Keith Van Horn	68	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	6	-18	17.0	16.0	0.99	15.7	15.4	0.33
Kerry Kittles	69	70	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.34	-10	4	-14	16.8	16.6	0.23	15.0	17.9	-2.94

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	77	76	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.27	15	-9	24	15.4	16.7	-1.26	16.6	18.1	-1.53
Art Long	52	55	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-7	20	15.4	15.8	-0.40	16.9	16.5	0.39
Rashard Lewis	75	72	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-1	8	15.0	18.9	-3.91	16.3	18.9	-2.58
Gary Payton	68	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	-1	8	14.7	18.3	-3.52	16.5	17.6	-1.13
Desmond Mason	61	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	9	-12	15.9	15.1	0.80	17.1	16.0	1.10
Jerome James	44	44	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	1	4	15.2	16.0	-0.75	16.5	17.0	-0.57
Predrag Drobnjak	38	35	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	10	-14	17.2	14.5	2.68	17.2	16.5	0.78
Shammond Williams	35	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.11	-10	16	-26	17.7	14.3	3.39	17.8	16.1	1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, MEM 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	92.5%
DEN 107, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.83,0.61,0.45,0.55,0.58,1	91.8%
TOR 89, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.72,1	91.7%