NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	131		Excitement	13.3 [9]		MVP	Immanuel Quickley (NYK): +60.1%
Boston Celtics	129		Comeback	7.8 [91]		LVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): -22.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0.60	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.4,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6	0.22	0.38	-0.00	28	63%	0.62	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Julius Randle	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	22	65%	0.45	7	-0.38	4	100%	0.14
Obi Toppin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Josh Hart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.24	2	-0.19	5	60%	-0.01
Quentin Grimes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
RJ Barrett	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.02	22	55%	0.09	2	-0.09	9	67%	-0.05
Miles McBride	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	8	59%	0.03	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.10
Isaiah Hartenstein	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.39	0.39	0.14	0.25	-0.00	15	67%	0.39	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	25	55%	0.23	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.07
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	7	50%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.08
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.09	0.11	-0.00	13	46%	0.17	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.03
Derrick White	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	12	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.28,-0.23	-0.23	0.12	-0.36	-0.01	30	56%	-0.11	2	-0.12	12	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.3	3.4	29.5	15.3	28.6	3.4	40.9	2.7	11.2	2.4	13.2	176.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +95.0%

BOS -25.4%

NYK +5.1%

BOS -46.3%

NYK +21.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	14.4	113.9	110.3	113.4
season	15.1	14.5		115.6	116.3
opponent	14.6	14.4		110.6	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	14.3	14.9	14.0	15.5	17.0	14.9
BOS	13.9	13.4	15.9	13.3	20.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Immanuel Quickley	108	110	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-6	14	15.4	11.4	3.93	14.9	14.0	0.94
Mitchell Robinson	83	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.54	-1	3	-4	16.2	12.4	3.72	16.0	12.3	3.69
Isaiah Hartenstein	23	24	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-9	20	11.0	16.2	-5.21	13.1	15.3	-2.21
Josh Hart	80	82	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.51	-2	4	-6	14.6	16.3	-1.63	14.6	15.6	-0.99
Obi Toppin	26	25	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	-8	18	13.8	15.5	-1.75	13.2	15.3	-2.09
RJ Barrett	98	99	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.43	-8	10	-18	15.4	13.4	2.01	15.2	13.2	1.96
Julius Randle	89	92	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.36	-8	10	-18	15.5	13.8	1.75	15.3	13.2	2.09
Miles McBride	19	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	4	-6	13.2	15.5	-2.29	13.2	15.2	-2.06
Quentin Grimes	49	51	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.27	2	0	2	15.8	14.7	1.10	14.4	15.3	-0.90

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Brown	93	92	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.27	8	-10	18	14.9	14.8	0.06	16.0	11.8	4.17
Al Horford	87	86	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.25	7	-9	16	15.4	13.3	2.08	16.0	12.4	3.62
Marcus Smart	75	76	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	1	-4	15.7	13.5	2.19	15.7	14.0	1.74
Derrick White	70	67	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-5	8	14.0	16.2	-2.23	14.8	15.6	-0.86
Jayson Tatum	97	96	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.48	4	-6	10	14.9	14.6	0.34	15.3	14.2	1.15
Mike Muscala	30	29	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	7	-16	13.3	15.4	-2.08	12.4	16.0	-3.62
Sam Hauser	44	42	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.13	-16	14	-30	14.7	15.0	-0.25	12.9	16.4	-3.57
Grant Williams	89	87	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.66	-4	2	-6	14.9	14.7	0.17	14.9	15.9	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.82,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.23,0.04,0.46,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.74,0.46,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 129, MIN 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.4,0.53,0.25,0.45,0.15,0.37,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.67,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.16,0	86.8%
DEN 120, PHX 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.64,0.77,0.27,0.54,0.38,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.46,0.19,0.1,0.06,0,0	85.7%
BOS 104, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.17,0.28,0	85.5%