NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	129		Excitement	15.2 [3]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +65.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	125		Comeback	13.1 [96]		LVP	Michael Finley (SAS): -34.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.65	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.68,0.65	0.25	0.42	0.03	36	67%	0.86	4	-0.21	10	90%	0.09
Tim Duncan	0.54	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.06,-0.04,0.19,0.08,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.54	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	26	51%	0.70	4	-0.17	7	86%	0.14
Roger Mason Jr.	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.16	0.28	-0.00	16	68%	0.44	0	0.00	6	100%	0.08
Ime Udoka	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	73%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Bruce Bowen	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Fabricio Oberto	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.34	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.34	-0.13	-0.22	-0.01	9	17%	-0.27	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.07,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.58	0.58	0.02	0.55	-0.01	27	48%	0.61	1	-0.04	9	67%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.02	0.20	-0.01	11	56%	0.34	2	-0.10	5	100%	0.12
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.02	0.12	-0.02	8	41%	0.13	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.06	0.00	13	44%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	73%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.14	-0.11	0.02	19	66%	0.09	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.21,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.08	-0.04	11	50%	0.21	2	-0.27	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.09	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	8	44%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	26.4	15.7	27.1	2.5	42.6	1.8	21.8	1.7	14.2	180.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +32.5%

SAS +6.2%

MIN -15.1%

SAS +12.9%

SAS +13.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MIN	NBA	SAS	MIN	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	15.5	115.2	113.6	106.4
season	16.4	15.8		106.6	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.7		109.2	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	16.7	17.3	16.8	13.1	17.8	16.1
MIN	13.9	14.0	19.2	14.1	15.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	64	66	1.29	-0.79	2.09	0.94	12	-8	20	15.3	17.2	-1.88	14.5	16.3	-1.85
Ime Udoka	41	39	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.51	6	-2	8	16.3	16.0	0.33	13.4	16.2	-2.87
Tony Parker	96	95	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	-3	10	15.8	18.1	-2.32	15.6	12.7	2.87
Roger Mason Jr.	85	82	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.43	-1	5	-6	16.4	15.4	0.96	15.6	14.0	1.62
Tim Duncan	92	89	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	7	-10	16.5	14.4	2.05	15.3	14.8	0.55
Fabricio Oberto	58	56	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.24	1	3	-2	16.8	15.4	1.33	16.2	14.1	2.08
Kurt Thomas	25	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	3	-2	16.6	16.0	0.60	15.2	15.2	-0.00
Matt Bonner	14	14	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	1	2	14.1	16.4	-2.28	14.2	15.4	-1.14
George Hill	21	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.13	-6	10	-16	18.4	15.6	2.77	12.3	15.8	-3.49
Bruce Bowen	64	65	-1.06	1.56	-2.61	-1.06	0	4	-4	15.4	17.1	-1.70	16.0	14.0	2.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad McCants	24	29	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-7	10	12.6	15.9	-3.31	16.9	15.9	1.08
Randy Foye	89	88	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	-0.24	7	-11	18	15.2	15.1	0.14	15.5	18.5	-3.06
Mike Miller	82	83	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	0	-4	15.6	14.1	1.53	15.9	16.8	-0.89
Sebastian Telfair	54	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	1	-6	14.9	15.5	-0.67	16.8	15.5	1.30
Craig Smith	19	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-2	0	12.7	15.7	-2.99	18.1	15.6	2.49
Kevin Love	64	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-6	8	16.3	13.7	2.56	18.3	13.3	5.01
Ryan Gomes	46	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	2	-8	13.7	16.3	-2.56	13.3	18.3	-5.01
Al Jefferson	91	90	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.29	-2	-2	0	15.7	12.7	2.99	15.6	18.1	-2.49
Corey Brewer	72	69	-0.95	0.45	-1.40	-0.69	-9	5	-14	15.7	14.4	1.28	16.3	15.8	0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.4,0.53,0.25,0.45,0.15,0.37,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.67,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.17,0.28,0	86.3%
CLE 88, NOH 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.45,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.53,0.26,0	86.1%
PHX 90, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.54,0.81,0.78,0.57,0.27,1	86.1%