NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	8.0 [238]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +30.6%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	2.8 [567]		LVP	CJ Miles (UTA): -10.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.31	0.09	0.21	-0.00	17	53%	0.31	0	0.00	11	91%	0.06
Ray Allen	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.10	0.20	0.01	15	77%	0.41	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	5	90%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	58%	0.06	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.05
Glen Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
James Posey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.07	-0.01	13	54%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	0.00	13	63%	0.18	2	-0.09	4	25%	-0.12
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	5	54%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	14	44%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.13,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	13	73%	0.27	7	-0.27	4	75%	0.03
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11	-0.11	0.04	-0.13	0.01	8	61%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.6	29.3	15.6	27.1	2.3	34.2	135.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +2.5%

BOS +16.2%

BOS +22.7%

BOS +12.6%

UTA -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	UTA	NBA	BOS	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	17.0	15.4	119.5	112.6	105.7
season	15.6	15.5		108.0	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.9		105.0	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.4	18.4	15.6	14.3	16.1
UTA	17.9	16.6	17.1	16.3	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	50	50	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.39	11	-5	16	15.9	16.5	-0.61	17.7	15.9	1.82
Paul Pierce	78	76	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.38	8	-2	10	15.9	18.3	-2.45	16.8	18.4	-1.60
Glen Davis	17	17	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	-3	12	13.9	16.7	-2.73	18.6	16.6	2.09
Rajon Rondo	52	53	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	-2	10	16.4	15.7	0.71	17.1	16.7	0.38
Tony Allen	27	27	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	-2	10	15.6	16.4	-0.74	18.3	16.4	1.93
Kevin Garnett	65	66	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	7	-8	16.8	14.0	2.80	16.5	18.5	-1.99
Ray Allen	71	71	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.14	-2	8	-10	16.2	16.0	0.17	16.4	19.6	-3.18
Eddie House	33	33	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	10	-14	16.6	15.8	0.80	17.2	16.8	0.40
Brian Scalabrine	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	6	-6	0.0	16.1	-16.14	22.0	16.9	5.09
Kendrick Perkins	42	41	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	13	-20	16.2	16.0	0.19	16.1	17.7	-1.64

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	6	4	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-10	14	17.2	17.0	0.22	12.5	16.3	-3.81
Paul Millsap	36	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-6	6	17.5	16.6	0.96	16.2	16.1	0.18
Matt Harpring	44	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-5	4	17.8	16.1	1.68	15.7	16.5	-0.78
Ronnie Brewer	72	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.22	-1	-5	4	16.3	20.0	-3.67	15.8	17.7	-1.85
CJ Miles	43	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-1	-4	16.1	17.8	-1.68	16.5	15.7	0.78
Jason Hart	24	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.17	-6	0	-6	18.8	16.3	2.58	16.3	16.1	0.20
Mehmet Okur	56	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	2	-10	16.8	17.3	-0.45	16.7	15.2	1.50
Deron Williams	78	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-1	-4	17.0	16.9	0.09	16.4	14.2	2.19
Carlos Boozer	76	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.34	-8	2	-10	16.8	18.1	-1.29	15.9	18.1	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.17,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, NOP 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.49,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.47,0.46,0.15,0.58,0	90.8%
MIL 131, LAL 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.66,0.52,0.67,0.52,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.32,0.01,0	90.5%
DEN 78, MIN 74	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.27,0	90.4%