NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	100		Excitement	9.8 [84]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +36.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	97		Comeback	3.3 [300]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (NOP): -39.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.07	0.00	9	75%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.11	0.01	11	52%	0.17	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.11,0,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	17	50%	0.13	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	52%	0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.06
Jae Crowder	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Gal Mekel	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	13	44%	-0.01	1	-0.06	6	67%	-0.06

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.13	0.24	0.00	17	72%	0.43	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	10	60%	0.11	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	19	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.06
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.34	-0.34	-0.03	-0.31	0.01	14	50%	-0.24	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,-0.25,-0.25,-0.4	-0.40	-0.05	-0.34	0.01	17	47%	-0.24	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	25.3	16.7	27.2	2.4	38.4	136.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +73.9%

NOP -0.5%

NOP -62.3%

DAL +37.2%

DAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOP	NBA	DAL	NOP	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.1	103.1	102.1	105.2
season	15.3	15.5		109.0	105.6
opponent	15.3	15.0		108.5	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.6	14.0	13.3	16.5	14.6
NOP	14.2	14.8	16.0	17.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	32	30	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.56	6	-3	9	13.1	15.3	-2.15	15.8	15.3	0.47
Dirk Nowitzki	66	65	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.37	10	-7	17	14.7	14.4	0.31	14.8	16.8	-2.03
Gal Mekel	22	22	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	-2	7	14.5	14.6	-0.15	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Vince Carter	47	45	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	-4	11	14.0	15.1	-1.10	17.0	14.0	3.04
DeJuan Blair	59	59	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	2	-1	14.7	14.4	0.33	14.9	16.3	-1.39
Samuel Dalembert	38	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	1	1	14.4	14.7	-0.33	16.3	14.9	1.39
Monta Ellis	78	76	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.22	-3	6	-9	14.8	13.7	1.03	15.8	13.9	1.93
Shawn Marion	71	69	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.25	-7	10	-17	14.7	14.1	0.62	15.5	15.3	0.13
Wayne Ellington	9	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	8	-13	16.0	14.4	1.58	10.7	15.9	-5.28
Jose Calderon	63	64	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.15	-1	4	-5	15.0	13.7	1.28	15.2	16.0	-0.83

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	70	71	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.21	6	-9	15	15.8	14.4	1.47	14.9	13.8	1.09
Darius Miller	1	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-2	1	5.0	15.6	-10.55	30.0	14.4	15.59
Ryan Anderson	83	84	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.35	10	-13	23	15.2	16.8	-1.59	14.9	12.5	2.43
Al-Farouq Aminu	66	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-4	5	16.2	13.8	2.42	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Eric Gordon	71	72	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-5	7	15.0	16.8	-1.86	14.8	13.9	0.93
Lou Amundson	21	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	2	-7	16.4	15.2	1.27	13.6	14.9	-1.31
Tyreke Evans	45	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	0	-3	15.9	15.0	0.93	14.0	15.1	-1.10
Anthony Morrow	21	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.27	-2	-1	-1	15.5	15.4	0.04	13.3	14.9	-1.67
Brian Roberts	25	26	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	6	-15	14.4	15.8	-1.47	13.8	14.9	-1.09
Jason Smith	72	72	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.29	-14	11	-25	15.0	16.8	-1.83	14.9	13.5	1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.49,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.47,0.46,0.15,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.39,0.31,0.54,0.32,0.58,0	92.5%
NJN 89, LAL 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.65,0.77,0.72,0.62,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.58,0	91.3%
LAL 92, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.42,0	90.9%