inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 100 Excitement9.8 [84] MVPJrue Holiday (NOP): +36.2%
New Orleans Pelicans 97 Comeback3.3 [300] LVPAl-Farouq Aminu (NOP): -39.6%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.100.070.00975%0.191-0.022100%0.01
Jose Calderon0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.030.110.011152%0.171-0.031100%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0.100,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.11,0,0.10.030.070.001750%0.131-0.04875%-0.03
Samuel Dalembert0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.04-0.01650%0.0600.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00862%0.061-0.0200%0.00
DeJuan Blair0.010,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.020.011052%0.0100.0030%-0.06
Jae Crowder0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.030.00650%0.062-0.052100%0.02
Gal Mekel-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00437%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.06-0.021344%-0.011-0.06667%-0.06

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jrue Holiday0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.36,0.360.360.130.240.001772%0.433-0.072100%0.02
Darius Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.020.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.030.011060%0.112-0.1400%0.00
Ryan Anderson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.011942%-0.001-0.035100%0.06
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.0050%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Lou Amundson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.050.0000%0.002-0.0900%0.00
Tyreke Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.00933%-0.042-0.066100%0.04
Eric Gordon0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.34-0.34-0.03-0.310.011450%-0.243-0.10250%-0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,-0.25,-0.25,-0.4-0.40-0.05-0.340.011747%-0.243-0.1500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.525.316.727.22.438.4136.8
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +73.9%
NOP -0.5%
NOP -62.3%
DAL +37.2%
DAL +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALNOPNBADALNOPNBA
this game14.615.415.1103.1102.1105.2
season15.315.5109.0105.6
opponent15.315.0108.5107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.614.013.316.514.6
NOP14.214.816.017.015.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jae Crowder32300.73-0.230.960.566-3913.115.3-2.1515.815.30.47
Dirk Nowitzki66650.67-0.170.840.3710-71714.714.40.3114.816.8-2.03
Gal Mekel22220.340.160.190.205-2714.514.6-0.1514.915.6-0.69
Vince Carter47450.340.160.170.137-41114.015.1-1.1017.014.03.04
DeJuan Blair59590.300.200.100.2712-114.714.40.3314.916.3-1.39
Samuel Dalembert38360.200.30-0.100.1421114.414.7-0.3316.314.91.39
Monta Ellis78760.140.36-0.230.22-36-914.813.71.0315.813.91.93
Shawn Marion71690.050.45-0.410.25-710-1714.714.10.6215.515.30.13
Wayne Ellington99-0.090.59-0.670.06-58-1316.014.41.5810.715.9-5.28
Jose Calderon6364-0.170.67-0.85-0.15-14-515.013.71.2815.216.0-0.83

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jrue Holiday7071-0.03-0.470.43-0.216-91515.814.41.4714.913.81.09
Darius Miller11-0.04-0.460.43-0.01-1-215.015.6-10.5530.014.415.59
Ryan Anderson8384-0.06-0.440.38-0.3510-132315.216.8-1.5914.912.52.43
Al-Farouq Aminu6667-0.14-0.360.22-0.171-4516.213.82.4214.414.8-0.39
Eric Gordon7172-0.14-0.360.22-0.202-5715.016.8-1.8614.813.90.93
Lou Amundson2123-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.12-52-716.415.21.2713.614.9-1.31
Tyreke Evans4547-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.24-30-315.915.00.9314.015.1-1.10
Anthony Morrow2122-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.27-2-1-115.515.40.0413.314.9-1.67
Brian Roberts2526-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.20-96-1514.415.8-1.4713.814.9-1.09
Jason Smith7272-0.700.20-0.91-0.29-1411-2515.016.8-1.8314.913.51.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.49,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.47,0.46,0.15,0.58,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 94, LAC 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.39,0.31,0.54,0.32,0.58,092.5%
NJN 89, LAL 830.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.65,0.77,0.72,0.62,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.58,091.3%
LAL 92, DEN 880.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.42,090.9%