NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	89		Excitement	9.1 [118]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +35.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	83		Comeback	3.3 [167]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -32.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.36	0.03	0.31	-0.02	15	53%	0.37	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	6	80%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	4	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	6	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.32,-0.32	-0.15	-0.16	0.00	13	34%	-0.11	3	-0.21	6	83%	0.03
Kenyon Martin	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.24,-0.35,-0.32	-0.17	-0.14	0.01	20	40%	-0.15	5	-0.17	5	80%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	10	55%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09	-0.09	0.05	-0.13	0.01	17	61%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	14	35%	-0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	5	30%	-0.07	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.26	-0.26	-0.10	-0.19	-0.02	22	47%	-0.22	2	-0.04	13	38%	-0.43

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.5	27.4	17.8	27.3	3.4	43.4	144.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +43.4%

NJN +45.4%

LAL -23.7%

LAL -10.7%

LAL -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	LAL	NBA	NJN	LAL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.6	15.5	97.8	92.2	101.6
season	15.0	15.4		101.1	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.9		102.8	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.1	17.1	16.0	14.7	15.2
LAL	18.2	16.4	16.7	15.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	56	53	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-3	12	15.3	15.0	0.37	15.9	17.7	-1.77
Brian Scalabrine	27	25	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.15	15	-9	24	13.7	15.8	-2.12	18.4	16.0	2.39
Kerry Kittles	76	75	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.25	11	-5	16	14.8	17.3	-2.48	17.0	14.8	2.20
Richard Jefferson	84	84	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	2	2	15.6	10.1	5.48	16.6	17.3	-0.75
Anthony Johnson	34	33	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	-2	10	15.1	15.2	-0.13	16.8	16.5	0.24
Jason Kidd	72	72	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.28	-7	13	-20	15.7	13.4	2.25	16.2	18.4	-2.26
Kenyon Martin	71	71	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.18	-7	13	-20	15.3	14.9	0.32	16.1	18.7	-2.60
Jason Collins	35	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	9	-12	15.0	15.3	-0.37	17.7	15.9	1.77

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	80	81	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-10	14	16.5	18.0	-1.54	15.4	13.6	1.80
Kareem Rush	16	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-4	2	17.6	16.4	1.13	16.4	14.9	1.49
Slava Medvedenko	2	2	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-3	0	19.5	16.6	2.93	16.5	15.2	1.33
Samaki Walker	42	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	3	-12	17.8	15.6	2.21	13.7	16.4	-2.67
Devean George	35	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-5	4	17.0	16.4	0.65	16.1	14.6	1.47
Brian Shaw	6	6	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-1	-4	16.0	16.7	-0.68	15.3	15.2	0.15
Shaquille O'Neal	81	82	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-8	10	16.5	18.2	-1.77	15.5	12.1	3.43
Rick Fox	55	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-1	-4	16.4	17.0	-0.65	14.6	16.1	-1.47
Robert Horry	55	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-4	2	15.9	17.8	-1.91	15.7	14.3	1.40
Kobe Bryant	78	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.30	-9	3	-12	16.7	16.4	0.25	14.7	18.1	-3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.65,0.77,0.72,0.62,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, NOP 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.49,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.47,0.46,0.15,0.58,0	91.3%
CLE 100, DEN 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.04,0	90.2%
OKC 83, LAC 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.58,0	90.2%