NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	83		Excitement	8.2 [195]		MVP	Al Thornton (LAC): +12.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	79		Comeback	4.6 [178]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -33.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Ollie	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.03	7	65%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	20	62%	0.24	4	-0.15	8	62%	-0.04
Nick Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	13	46%	0.05	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
James Harden	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	8	39%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Russell Westbrook	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.03	-0.01	11	9%	-0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.13	0.00	10	54%	0.21	3	-0.08	8	75%	0.06
Ricky Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	18	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.06
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	4	80%	0.07	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.02
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.22	-0.22	-0.04	-0.18	-0.01	10	35%	-0.22	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.34	-0.34	-0.15	-0.21	-0.02	26	36%	-0.14	4	-0.19	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.5	27.1	14.8	28.6	2.0	37.0	134.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +65.3%

LAC -32.9%

OKC +7.4%

OKC +15.5%

LAC -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	17.4	15.3	94.3	88.8	106.0
season	15.0	15.5		106.2	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		108.5	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.1	16.9	13.1	18.2	15.1
LAC	16.2	17.4	17.6	18.8	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	45	47	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-8	20	16.5	13.7	2.81	17.5	17.3	0.16
Jeff Green	56	55	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.41	7	-3	10	14.8	15.7	-0.95	18.2	16.1	2.10
James Harden	40	42	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-5	14	16.3	14.1	2.17	18.0	16.9	1.20
Serge Ibaka	25	27	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	-2	8	17.3	14.3	3.03	18.2	17.1	1.16
Nick Collison	49	48	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	-3	10	15.7	14.4	1.26	17.9	16.8	1.13
Kevin Durant	68	70	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.31	-2	6	-8	14.6	16.8	-2.25	16.8	19.7	-2.88
Nenad Krstic	56	57	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	8	-12	14.5	16.2	-1.79	16.2	19.5	-3.30
Etan Thomas	11	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	6	-8	15.7	15.0	0.70	19.4	17.2	2.24
Thabo Sefolosha	47	47	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	9	-14	14.1	16.2	-2.07	16.9	18.0	-1.20
Russell Westbrook	43	42	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.01	-8	12	-20	13.7	16.5	-2.81	17.3	17.5	-0.16

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-2	0	16.8	17.5	-0.67	16.9	14.8	2.09
Marcus Camby	66	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.15	1	-5	6	16.6	19.8	-3.19	14.0	17.9	-3.86
Steve Novak	0	1	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-4	4	0.0	17.4	-17.42	26.0	15.0	11.01
DeAndre Jordan	5	5	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-1	-2	20.2	17.2	2.95	22.8	14.7	8.15
Al Thornton	75	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-8	12	17.7	16.0	1.68	14.6	17.8	-3.21
Mardy Collins	7	8	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	1	-6	20.0	17.2	2.80	17.7	14.8	2.90
Baron Davis	79	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-6	8	17.0	20.9	-3.93	14.9	16.8	-1.90
Chris Kaman	77	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.32	2	-6	8	17.4	17.2	0.19	14.6	17.8	-3.21
Craig Smith	30	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	4	-12	18.7	16.8	1.94	16.8	14.1	2.72
Rasual Butler	72	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	0	-4	17.0	19.0	-1.96	14.5	17.7	-3.21
Sebastian Telfair	22	21	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	3	-10	18.8	17.0	1.86	17.8	14.3	3.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 92, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.63,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.82,0.76,0.7,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.29,0.22,0.41,0	91.7%
MIN 89, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.31,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.28,0.13,0.42,0	91.5%
UTA 99, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.42,0	91.3%