NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	131		Excitement	8.8 [210]		MVP	Malcolm Brogdon (MIL): +34.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	120		Comeback	6.3 [377]		LVP	Kyle Kuzma (LAL): -9.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Brogdon	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.34,0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.01	13	75%	0.34	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Eric Bledsoe	0.30	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.15	0.19	0.04	24	58%	0.33	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.05
Ersan Ilyasova	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.15	0.00	8	67%	0.24	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Pat Connaughton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	75%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	7	69%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Khris Middleton	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.01	0.04	8	72%	0.07	0	0.00	9	89%	-0.02
Brook Lopez	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	69%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	14	50%	0.12	4	-0.16	4	50%	-0.03
Tony Snell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.19	0.10	-0.00	21	66%	0.30	0	0.00	5	80%	0.04
LeBron James	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.43,0.3,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.15	0.01	19	65%	0.46	3	-0.18	10	80%	0.03
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.00	3	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.08,0.08,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	19	50%	0.20	3	-0.20	2	100%	0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	5	70%	0.05	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	18	32%	-0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.8	25.5	14.5	30.2	2.6	33.4	132.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +15.5%

MIL +10.1%

MIL +6.7%

MIL +16.2%

MIL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAL	NBA	MIL	LAL	NBA
this game	13.8	14.2	14.3	127.2	116.5	109.3
season	13.5	13.5		112.4	107.2
opponent	14.2	14.3		108.7	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.8	13.2	13.3	14.7	13.8
LAL	12.9	13.4	17.2	13.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	53	51	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.37	18	-7	25	13.3	14.3	-0.96	14.3	14.1	0.16
Malcolm Brogdon	63	60	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	2	7	14.0	13.5	0.48	13.5	15.1	-1.54
Eric Bledsoe	65	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	-3	17	13.5	14.3	-0.83	14.7	13.3	1.37
Pat Connaughton	52	54	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-2	15	14.1	13.5	0.59	14.9	13.4	1.46
Giannis Antetokounmpo	71	69	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	8	-5	14.1	12.9	1.20	14.1	14.3	-0.15
Tony Snell	49	50	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	10	-9	13.3	14.2	-0.88	13.8	14.6	-0.80
Khris Middleton	68	67	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.11	-3	14	-17	13.9	13.4	0.51	14.3	13.9	0.43
Nikola Mirotic	44	46	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.21	5	6	-1	13.8	13.7	0.13	14.1	14.3	-0.19
Brook Lopez	44	45	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.07	0	11	-11	13.5	13.9	-0.43	14.2	14.2	0.09
Isaiah Canaan	6	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	16	-21	15.3	13.7	1.66	11.2	14.4	-3.21

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Bullock	55	54	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.02	9	-20	29	14.4	14.0	0.40	13.6	13.9	-0.33
JaVale McGee	22	22	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.03	8	-19	27	13.3	14.4	-1.17	15.8	13.2	2.55
Josh Hart	32	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-10	9	13.7	14.4	-0.69	14.4	13.5	0.93
LeBron James	82	82	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-7	3	14.3	13.9	0.42	13.8	13.7	0.07
Mike Muscala	30	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-3	-5	14.3	14.2	0.15	13.5	13.9	-0.45
Kyle Kuzma	74	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	-2	-7	14.1	14.3	-0.21	13.6	14.3	-0.76
Brandon Ingram	85	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	0	-11	14.1	14.7	-0.64	13.6	14.4	-0.80
Rajon Rondo	86	86	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.14	-17	6	-23	14.7	11.9	2.77	13.5	14.9	-1.41
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	49	49	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.18	-22	11	-33	14.0	14.4	-0.41	13.8	13.8	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.66,0.52,0.67,0.52,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.32,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 104, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.17,0.28,0	90.5%
POR 94, NOH 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.35,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.24,0.04,0	90.3%
PHI 100, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.5,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.23,0.01,0	89.7%