NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	7.3 [285]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (POR): +22.5%
New Orleans Hornets	86		Comeback	3.3 [544]		LVP	Greivis Vasquez (NOH): -19.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.10	0.04	16	74%	0.33	3	-0.10	10	90%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.09	-0.03	12	58%	0.16	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	6	56%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Raymond Felton	0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	72%	0.14	5	-0.12	5	100%	0.04
Gerald Wallace	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	64%	0.12	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Marcus Camby	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	6	33%	-0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.00	8	71%	0.15	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	78%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	18	55%	0.12	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	40%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	-0.02	11	55%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	13	42%	0.03	3	-0.20	5	60%	-0.02
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.09	-0.00	10	27%	-0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.8	25.5	15.4	28.4	2.5	37.4	139.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +35.1%

POR +0.5%

NOH -8.0%

POR +17.7%

POR +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOH	NBA	POR	NOH	NBA
this game	16.5	16.6	15.6	108.0	98.9	102.8
season	15.7	16.3		104.1	99.2
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.4	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.9	19.0	15.8	16.7	16.5
NOH	15.1	17.9	16.9	16.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	77	77	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.26	18	-10	28	15.8	22.0	-6.23	16.6	17.0	-0.43
Nicolas Batum	49	51	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.27	17	-9	26	15.7	17.5	-1.81	16.6	16.6	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	53	53	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-6	20	16.1	17.0	-0.90	16.9	16.2	0.73
Raymond Felton	64	63	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	1	6	16.4	16.6	-0.17	16.1	18.1	-2.02
Kurt Thomas	26	26	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	2	4	16.3	16.6	-0.30	17.1	16.4	0.65
LaMarcus Aldridge	67	67	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	11	-14	17.0	14.7	2.25	16.6	16.8	-0.23
Elliot Williams	8	9	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	11	-14	16.5	16.5	0.02	16.7	16.6	0.05
Marcus Camby	35	34	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.04	-5	13	-18	17.5	15.8	1.63	16.9	16.4	0.48
Wesley Matthews	56	55	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.00	-11	19	-30	17.4	14.8	2.60	16.7	16.4	0.29

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gustavo Ayon	54	52	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-9	10	15.8	18.0	-2.27	15.8	17.5	-1.73
Donald Sloan	21	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-8	8	16.7	16.6	0.12	17.1	16.3	0.87
Emeka Okafor	68	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-6	4	16.5	17.1	-0.62	16.8	15.2	1.66
Marco Belinelli	58	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.12	-3	-5	2	16.8	16.3	0.41	16.7	15.9	0.81
Al-Farouq Aminu	43	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.30	1	-9	10	17.4	15.8	1.62	18.1	15.0	3.07
Xavier Henry	27	26	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-1	-6	16.0	16.9	-0.90	14.6	17.3	-2.66
Greivis Vasquez	66	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	0	-8	16.6	16.7	-0.12	16.3	17.1	-0.87
Trevor Ariza	82	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-2	-4	16.8	14.4	2.36	16.8	8.7	8.10
Lance Thomas	16	15	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	8	-24	17.7	16.4	1.38	13.5	17.1	-3.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.35,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.24,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 101, NOP 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.37,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.15,0	92.2%
BOS 102, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.28,0.34,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.04,0	91.3%
NOH 87, MIA 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.45,0.28,0.06,0.05,0	91.3%