NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	102		Excitement	7.2 [372]		MVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): +22.2%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	2.7 [169]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -21.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22	0.04	0.17	-0.01	11	59%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.2	0.11	0.08	-0.01	18	64%	0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	3	89%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	10	62%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.01	5	71%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Bass	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	11	66%	0.08	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.05
Courtney Lee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	7	14%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.08	-0.03	18	56%	0.20	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.09	-0.06	5	80%	0.23	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.08	0.01	6	72%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	4	112%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.03	0.03	6	72%	0.04	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Chris Copeland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	26	34%	-0.18	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	2.4	31.6	16.0	26.6	1.7	42.2	150.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +44.6%

BOS +4.6%

NYK -4.1%

BOS +3.7%

BOS +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	16.6	15.4	115.9	109.1	104.1
season	14.9	16.2		101.2	107.9
opponent	15.5	16.2		103.8	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.6	17.2	15.7	18.3	16.1
NYK	15.9	17.9	18.5	14.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	56	58	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	2	2	17.2	14.2	3.06	17.2	15.6	1.56
Kevin Garnett	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.38	1	5	-4	16.3	15.3	1.00	15.9	19.6	-3.67
Jeff Green	49	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	0	6	15.2	17.2	-1.93	17.2	15.9	1.33
Jared Sullinger	37	37	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	-3	12	14.6	17.2	-2.65	16.4	16.8	-0.33
Jason Terry	52	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	7	-8	18.2	13.0	5.25	16.8	16.3	0.47
Brandon Bass	55	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	4	-2	16.8	14.9	1.91	18.0	14.2	3.73
Courtney Lee	41	39	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	3	0	13.9	18.0	-4.12	15.8	17.3	-1.54
Leandro Barbosa	30	28	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	1	4	12.5	18.0	-5.47	15.7	17.0	-1.34
Paul Pierce	49	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	5	-4	17.5	14.3	3.22	16.0	17.4	-1.35

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	34	31	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.07	-1	-5	4	18.0	15.8	2.24	16.0	16.2	-0.16
Marcus Camby	20	19	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-6	6	16.9	16.5	0.42	14.1	16.7	-2.55
Jason Kidd	59	59	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-17	28	16.4	17.2	-0.82	17.5	13.3	4.16
Tyson Chandler	73	72	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.31	9	-15	24	16.9	15.5	1.40	16.9	12.7	4.17
James White	1	0	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-4	2	0.0	16.8	-16.82	0.0	16.1	-16.10
Chris Copeland	8	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-2	-2	15.6	16.7	-1.10	11.1	16.6	-5.48
Steve Novak	31	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-1	-4	16.2	16.8	-0.62	13.5	17.6	-4.04
Carmelo Anthony	64	66	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.28	0	-6	6	17.2	15.2	1.95	17.1	13.2	3.83
J.R. Smith	69	71	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	-2	-2	16.5	17.1	-0.61	16.6	13.9	2.68
Pablo Prigioni	30	29	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.01	-19	13	-32	16.6	16.6	-0.04	13.3	17.5	-4.16
Amar'e Stoudemire	51	53	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.33	-15	9	-24	15.8	17.8	-1.95	16.3	15.9	0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.28,0.34,0.18,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 100, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.02,0	92.8%
MEM 99, LAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.04,0	92.7%
TOR 92, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.05,0	92.4%