NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	138		Excitement	8.0 [341]		MVP	Kevin Huerter (SAC): +33.6%
Sacramento Kings	134		Comeback	1.1 [586]		LVP	Keegan Murray (SAC): -5.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.33	0.20	0.12	-0.02	12	80%	0.33	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.13	0.11	-0.02	9	70%	0.25	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	0.23	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.17	0.08	0.02	8	95%	0.25	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Jaden McDaniels	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.00	11	86%	0.25	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.15	0.01	9	59%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Naz Reid	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	5	83%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Anthony Edwards	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	20	56%	0.33	4	-0.22	8	62%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	89%	0.09	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Jordan McLaughlin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.28	0.09	0.03	15	91%	0.34	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.09	-0.03	5	94%	0.26	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	18	59%	0.10	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	0.00	2	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	4	53%	0.08	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.05	0.01	13	69%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.07,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	22	49%	0.11	3	-0.12	7	71%	0.02
PJ Dozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.4	25.4	15.3	26.9	2.0	32.0	133.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +68.4%

MIN +2.8%

SAC -0.4%

SAC -22.0%

MIN +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	13.9	14.4	139.4	138.1	113.4
season	14.1	13.5		112.4	117.3
opponent	14.8	14.3		115.2	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.2	14.3	16.4	18.6	15.5
SAC	15.1	13.3	13.6	13.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Anderson	74	72	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.33	17	-13	30	15.2	16.5	-1.29	13.9	13.6	0.34
Mike Conley	62	60	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.29	17	-13	30	15.2	16.0	-0.82	14.6	12.7	1.91
Rudy Gobert	64	62	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.29	11	-7	18	15.9	14.8	1.06	14.1	13.3	0.80
Jaden McDaniels	70	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-1	6	16.1	14.0	2.09	13.6	14.6	-0.97
Anthony Edwards	74	73	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.26	-5	9	-14	15.3	16.1	-0.81	13.6	14.6	-0.97
Taurean Prince	39	37	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.09	-5	9	-14	14.4	16.3	-1.91	14.7	13.3	1.33
Jordan McLaughlin	28	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	5	-6	15.3	15.6	-0.27	13.5	14.0	-0.45
Naz Reid	35	35	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	11	-18	14.8	15.9	-1.06	13.3	14.1	-0.80
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	49	48	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.20	-12	16	-28	16.9	14.2	2.66	13.1	14.6	-1.45

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Len	1	1	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-6	8	7.0	13.9	-6.93	2.0	15.7	-13.65
Kessler Edwards	26	27	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.31	12	-16	28	12.8	14.2	-1.43	20.0	13.8	6.12
Chimezie Metu	15	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-2	0	13.5	13.9	-0.38	13.5	15.9	-2.41
Trey Lyles	38	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-8	12	13.9	13.8	0.11	15.9	15.3	0.59
PJ Dozier	5	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-3	2	13.2	13.9	-0.69	13.0	15.6	-2.65
Terence Davis	13	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-3	2	15.8	13.6	2.21	12.4	16.0	-3.60
De'Aaron Fox	75	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-7	10	13.3	15.7	-2.36	15.3	16.3	-0.97
Malik Monk	40	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	2	-8	14.0	13.8	0.20	16.0	15.2	0.83
Davion Mitchell	22	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	3	-10	15.7	13.3	2.36	16.3	15.3	0.97
Keegan Murray	42	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.01	-10	6	-16	14.9	13.1	1.81	14.0	16.7	-2.71
Kevin Huerter	64	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-7	10	13.4	14.7	-1.23	16.1	14.2	1.87
Domantas Sabonis	67	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	5	-14	13.9	13.7	0.18	15.2	16.3	-1.13
Harrison Barnes	77	78	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.37	-8	4	-12	13.7	14.3	-0.62	15.4	15.9	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.2,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.2,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.4,0.19,0.23,0.32,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 85, MIN 77	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.09,0	92.0%
DAL 95, POR 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.46,0.48,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.43,0	91.7%
OKC 120, ORL 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.25,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.27,0.28,0.38,0.28,0.14,0.09,0	91.3%