inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 95 Excitement8.3 [231] MVPAlan Henderson (DAL): +9.3%
Portland Trail Blazers 88 Comeback1.2 [546] LVPDarius Miles (POR): -25.1%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alan Henderson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.03-0.00580%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.1,0.05-0.030.100.021656%0.164-0.114100%0.04
Jason Terry0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01657%0.041-0.022100%0.03
Michael Finley-0.000,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,00.03-0.04-0.012250%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.03-0.02650%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Devin Harris-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.011100%0.023-0.0500%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04-0.00-0.030.012051%-0.011-0.04786%-0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00150%0.012-0.062100%0.02
Erick Dampier-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.01337%-0.041-0.02250%-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.012346%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Richie Frahm0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.0210%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Ruben Patterson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.030.01664%0.012-0.05250%-0.03
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.010.00737%-0.061-0.0220%-0.03
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.00-0.00926%-0.022-0.0910%-0.01
Joel Przybilla0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.05-0.09-0.00748%-0.101-0.04729%-0.15
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19-0.19-0.01-0.20-0.021551%-0.091-0.10771%-0.01
Darius Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.25-0.25-0.09-0.16-0.001344%-0.212-0.04862%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.81.626.314.723.71.538.6130.2
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +45.9%
DAL +15.8%
POR -8.0%
POR -1.7%
POR -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALPORNBADALPORNBA
this game15.215.415.5101.193.6104.0
season14.915.8108.2101.2
opponent15.615.5105.4103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.414.118.914.915.2
POR17.913.613.317.215.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Terry73710.73-0.230.950.3513-61915.016.1-1.1816.212.93.31
Dirk Nowitzki76760.70-0.200.910.2615-82315.314.90.3516.112.43.67
Michael Finley91910.400.100.290.3425-315.58.37.1215.125.7-10.59
Jerry Stackhouse72730.360.140.220.3025-315.913.12.7816.113.12.93
Shawn Bradley30310.290.210.080.38-310-1315.615.00.6013.116.6-3.51
Darrell Armstrong36350.120.38-0.26-0.159-21113.116.5-3.3814.615.9-1.30
Alan Henderson27270.040.46-0.42-0.0225-314.015.7-1.7713.616.2-2.61
Devin Harris13140.000.50-0.490.03-18-913.915.4-1.5111.416.1-4.68
Erick Dampier5252-0.130.63-0.77-0.02-411-1516.413.82.6016.913.53.42

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Theo Ratliff4950-0.03-0.470.44-0.123-101316.014.81.1815.914.41.49
Sebastian Telfair1211-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-1-6510.216.2-6.0212.315.6-3.34
Richie Frahm1920-0.09-0.410.32-0.03-2-5312.316.2-3.9513.015.8-2.82
Ruben Patterson5758-0.09-0.410.310.08-6-1-516.713.43.2715.415.00.36
Joel Przybilla7169-0.20-0.300.10-0.293-101315.914.01.9316.013.22.76
Darius Miles5757-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.24-5-2-314.516.8-2.2615.015.6-0.57
Nick Van Exel7777-0.510.01-0.53-0.25-92-1116.112.53.5915.215.20.06
Zach Randolph4746-0.560.06-0.61-0.20-125-1714.116.7-2.6214.515.9-1.42
Damon Stoudamire8182-0.590.09-0.67-0.41-6-1-516.011.54.5015.612.82.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.46,0.48,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.29,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.43,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 82, MIL 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.38,0.21,0.41,0.24,0.47,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.42,091.8%
SAC 114, LAL 1130.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.26,091.1%
MIA 115, MIN 1130.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.04,0.01,091.0%