NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	119		Excitement	9.1 [161]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +34.5%
Atlanta Hawks	116		Comeback	7.5 [121]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -14.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.35	0.13	0.23	0.01	30	60%	0.41	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Daniel Gafford	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.09	0.01	6	81%	0.19	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Delon Wright	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.00	4	82%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Corey Kispert	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	7	64%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Goodwin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Nunn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	26	47%	0.02	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Deni Avdija	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.12	-0.01	7	89%	0.30	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.10	-0.02	8	72%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.01	9	67%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.06	0.01	11	64%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.02	6	62%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
AJ Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	18	42%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.05,-0.16,-0.14	-0.14	0.02	-0.17	-0.01	26	52%	0.05	4	-0.19	8	87%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.4	27.5	14.8	28.5	2.4	34.1	129.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +23.4%

WAS +0.5%

WAS +13.0%

WAS +12.1%

WAS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	16.6	13.4	14.4	125.3	119.6	113.4
season	14.8	13.8		113.4	115.1
opponent	14.4	14.2		114.9	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.7	15.1	17.1	15.8	16.6
ATL	12.1	13.7	12.9	14.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Kuzma	76	75	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.49	5	-2	7	16.3	18.1	-1.83	13.2	14.1	-0.96
Bradley Beal	67	69	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.49	3	0	3	17.4	14.9	2.53	13.2	13.8	-0.60
Delon Wright	59	60	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.56	0	3	-3	17.4	15.4	2.02	13.0	14.0	-1.03
Deni Avdija	61	62	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.50	2	1	1	17.0	16.1	0.91	13.4	13.5	-0.10
Daniel Gafford	69	70	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.40	4	-1	5	16.7	16.5	0.14	13.6	12.8	0.85
Jordan Goodwin	38	39	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.09	5	-2	7	15.5	17.4	-1.90	14.2	12.8	1.36
Taj Gibson	26	27	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	4	-5	16.5	16.7	-0.14	12.8	13.6	-0.85
Kendrick Nunn	30	32	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.09	-2	5	-7	16.1	16.9	-0.84	13.3	13.4	-0.07
Corey Kispert	49	51	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.15	-1	4	-5	16.1	17.2	-1.12	13.9	12.9	0.99

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
AJ Griffin	35	33	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.15	0	-3	3	14.3	12.9	1.44	15.3	17.4	-2.05
John Collins	54	52	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-5	7	13.4	13.4	0.04	17.0	16.2	0.75
Bogdan Bogdanovic	39	40	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.10	-2	-1	-1	13.3	13.4	-0.10	16.2	17.0	-0.76
Onyeka Okongwu	24	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	2	-7	13.7	13.3	0.37	15.8	16.9	-1.14
Dejounte Murray	70	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-6	9	13.3	13.7	-0.38	17.1	15.4	1.72
Clint Capela	73	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.45	2	-5	7	13.3	13.7	-0.37	16.9	15.8	1.14
De'Andre Hunter	65	64	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.54	-1	-2	1	13.0	14.3	-1.33	17.5	14.9	2.58
Saddiq Bey	55	54	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.42	-6	3	-9	13.8	12.8	0.98	16.2	17.3	-1.10
Trae Young	70	69	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.50	-8	5	-13	13.1	14.1	-0.95	16.4	17.3	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.8,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.87,0.74,0.88,0.78,0.75,0.46,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 84, PHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.27,0	92.4%
CHH 88, MIA 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.92,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.68,0.36,0.35,0.13,0	91.2%
MIL 93, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.92,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.64,0.67,0.09,0	91.1%