NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	93		Excitement	7.9 [257]		MVP	Gary Payton (MIL): +20.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	90		Comeback	11.7 [45]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -16.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.14	0.01	18	58%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.07	-0.02	14	61%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	4	25%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.05,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	15	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Jason Caffey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12	0.04	-0.15	0.01	12	68%	-0.01	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.00	19	68%	0.32	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	4	91%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.16,-0.04	-0.04	0.18	-0.20	0.02	14	82%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.00	7	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	15	33%	-0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	1.7	23.1	15.8	23.0	2.4	27.5	115.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +16.1%

MIL +10.4%

POR -16.6%

MIL +39.7%

MIL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	POR	NBA	MIL	POR	NBA
this game	15.9	18.4	15.5	110.7	107.1	101.6
season	15.4	16.0		106.3	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.8		101.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.6	18.9	17.7	13.8	15.9
POR	17.7	17.1	18.3	20.5	18.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	60	61	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.50	11	-8	19	15.1	17.9	-2.85	18.4	18.5	-0.10
Sam Cassell	63	64	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.31	15	-12	27	16.1	15.2	0.92	17.7	20.5	-2.82
Tim Thomas	50	49	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.43	9	-6	15	15.5	16.5	-0.99	17.3	19.9	-2.59
Gary Payton	72	73	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	-2	7	15.4	18.5	-3.06	18.2	19.5	-1.31
Michael Redd	44	43	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.52	-1	4	-5	15.7	16.0	-0.27	20.3	16.4	3.94
Toni Kukoc	32	33	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.10	4	-1	5	17.1	15.2	1.91	20.4	17.1	3.28
Ervin Johnson	10	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.01	-2	5	-7	20.1	15.3	4.79	16.2	18.7	-2.50
Dan Gadzuric	35	36	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.07	-3	6	-9	16.1	15.7	0.35	16.4	19.9	-3.53
Desmond Mason	33	32	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.08	-12	15	-27	16.4	15.5	0.84	19.6	17.7	1.87
Jason Caffey	21	19	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.07	-11	14	-25	15.3	16.1	-0.79	19.4	18.1	1.31

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	32	30	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.11	4	-7	11	17.3	19.1	-1.71	18.1	14.7	3.40
Arvydas Sabonis	31	31	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.08	4	-7	11	17.8	18.8	-0.95	17.5	14.9	2.59
Jeff McInnis	36	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-5	7	20.7	16.6	4.10	16.4	15.4	0.99
Damon Stoudamire	0	1	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-3	3	0.0	18.4	-18.40	1.0	16.1	-15.06
Antonio Daniels	14	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	0	-3	20.8	17.9	2.86	17.9	15.4	2.50
Derek Anderson	70	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-3	3	17.9	20.8	-2.86	15.4	17.9	-2.50
Scottie Pippen	48	47	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	2	-7	16.6	20.7	-4.10	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Bonzi Wells	70	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.43	-6	3	-9	19.1	14.9	4.17	15.5	17.9	-2.42
Dale Davis	53	52	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	4	-11	18.8	17.8	0.95	15.2	17.0	-1.81
Rasheed Wallace	66	67	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.50	-4	1	-5	18.2	19.2	-1.04	15.3	18.2	-2.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.92,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.64,0.67,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 82, POR 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.62,0.72,0.57,0.15,0	92.8%
LAC 89, POR 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.73,0.62,0.78,0.87,0.26,0	91.2%
LAL 97, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.26,0	90.5%