NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	89		Excitement	7.3 [193]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): +11.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	83		Comeback	11.9 [15]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -23.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Olowokandi	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04,0.04	-0.09	0.12	-0.01	9	30%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Rodney Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	16	57%	0.03	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.06
Lamond Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	9	52%	-0.04	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Darrick Martin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	10	46%	-0.06	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.01
Sherman Douglas	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	10	63%	0.02	4	-0.18	10	70%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.06	-0.05	12	59%	0.16	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	9	41%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.14	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	4	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	7	62%	0.05	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	6	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	13	47%	-0.04	2	-0.12	8	100%	0.05
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.14	0.01	15	33%	-0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	28.0	15.8	29.0	1.7	40.2	139.2
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +7.7%

LAC +5.6%

LAC +24.0%

LAC +12.4%

LAC +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	16.0	16.6	15.8	100.0	94.3	99.6
season	16.7	16.0		97.5	102.0
opponent	15.9	14.7		96.2	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.9	15.8	16.0	14.5	16.0
POR	16.4	15.5	18.3	16.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	55	55	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.37	13	-7	20	13.7	19.7	-6.05	16.1	17.5	-1.40
Sherman Douglas	66	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-4	14	16.7	13.8	2.94	17.2	14.6	2.59
Tyrone Nesby	61	61	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.55	2	4	-2	16.6	14.6	2.04	16.9	15.9	1.05
Michael Olowokandi	69	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-3	12	15.7	16.7	-1.01	16.6	16.4	0.24
Eric Piatkowski	69	69	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-3	12	14.8	20.1	-5.40	16.2	17.8	-1.61
Lamond Murray	51	48	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.22	3	3	0	16.1	15.8	0.22	16.3	16.9	-0.54
Darrick Martin	23	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.02	-4	10	-14	13.8	16.7	-2.94	14.6	17.2	-2.59
Lorenzen Wright	17	17	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	11	-16	19.2	15.2	4.04	18.4	16.1	2.27
Rodney Rogers	34	32	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	13	-20	19.7	13.7	6.05	16.9	16.4	0.51

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	35	34	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.09	3	-9	12	17.5	16.0	1.46	15.3	16.4	-1.09
Jim Jackson	36	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-7	8	16.2	16.9	-0.70	16.7	15.4	1.26
Greg Anthony	34	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-1	-4	16.5	16.6	-0.08	16.4	15.7	0.71
Arvydas Sabonis	34	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.01	-3	-3	0	16.7	16.5	0.21	18.5	14.3	4.21
Rasheed Wallace	78	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-4	2	16.6	16.2	0.43	15.2	20.9	-5.72
Kelvin Cato	61	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.36	-3	-3	0	16.6	16.6	0.03	16.2	15.4	0.84
Isaiah Rider	61	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	0	-6	16.6	16.5	0.14	14.9	18.2	-3.33
Walt Williams	40	43	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.41	-6	0	-6	15.7	17.3	-1.52	17.3	14.7	2.58
Damon Stoudamire	61	60	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	3	-12	16.7	16.3	0.41	15.0	18.0	-3.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.73,0.62,0.78,0.87,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 97, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.26,0	92.7%
NOH 102, NJN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.8,0.78,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.27,0	91.4%
MIL 93, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.92,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.64,0.67,0.09,0	91.2%