NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	97		Excitement	7.7 [255]		MVP	Howard Eisley (UTA): +12.1%
Utah Jazz	92		Comeback	6.1 [175]		LVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): -21.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.09,0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	13	53%	0.08	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.09
Rick Fox	0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	71%	0.09	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0	-0.02	0.04	0.02	10	59%	0.07	2	-0.07	12	92%	0.11
Mario Bennett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	13	50%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	10	61%	-0.02	3	-0.10	8	37%	-0.10

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.10	0.01	11	52%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	10	69%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	2	86%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	71%	0.06	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.12	-0.00	7	78%	0.12	2	-0.20	4	50%	-0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	22	50%	0.00	3	-0.10	8	75%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	4	10%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	4	0%	-0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	52.0	1.5	30.3	15.8	28.2	2.5	31.4	161.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +2.2%

LAL +23.3%

LAL +8.3%

LAL +17.5%

UTA -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.8	17.7	15.6	109.0	104.5	102.5
season	14.8	15.9		110.0	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.6		102.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.8	13.7	14.8	16.1	14.8
UTA	15.2	17.6	18.8	19.9	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	54	55	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.41	9	-4	13	13.6	16.6	-2.98	18.1	17.2	0.94
Eddie Jones	78	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-5	15	15.2	12.1	3.11	18.4	13.5	4.91
Nick Van Exel	63	63	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.48	4	1	3	16.0	12.1	3.88	17.9	17.4	0.53
Elden Campbell	51	52	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.26	10	-5	15	15.2	14.3	0.93	19.8	14.7	5.15
Shaquille O'Neal	64	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.37	6	-1	7	14.7	15.1	-0.36	18.7	15.2	3.55
Mario Bennett	9	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	8	-11	10.4	15.3	-4.87	13.9	18.2	-4.29
Corie Blount	31	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	6	-7	14.5	15.0	-0.47	15.0	19.2	-4.18
Derek Fisher	26	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.13	1	4	-3	12.1	16.0	-3.88	17.4	17.9	-0.53
Rick Fox	60	57	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.09	-7	12	-19	15.5	13.4	2.04	16.3	20.4	-4.14
Sean Rooks	9	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	9	-13	18.0	14.5	3.54	13.1	18.3	-5.15

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	45	47	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.14	4	-9	13	17.1	18.4	-1.33	16.3	13.2	3.09
Jacque Vaughn	33	33	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.05	6	-11	17	17.0	18.2	-1.13	11.9	16.5	-4.63
Antoine Carr	22	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-3	1	19.2	17.3	1.92	14.5	14.9	-0.38
Greg Ostertag	27	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	1	-7	18.8	17.3	1.55	11.9	16.1	-4.22
Shandon Anderson	22	23	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-1	-3	20.6	16.8	3.80	14.3	15.0	-0.70
Greg Foster	48	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.53	5	-10	15	17.1	18.4	-1.30	16.0	13.4	2.56
Jeff Hornacek	66	66	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-4	3	16.8	20.6	-3.80	15.0	14.3	0.70
Karl Malone	74	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	1	-7	17.5	18.9	-1.42	14.8	14.8	0.01
Howard Eisley	55	56	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.40	-11	6	-17	18.2	17.0	1.13	16.5	11.9	4.63
Bryon Russell	48	47	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.45	-10	5	-15	18.0	17.4	0.62	14.0	15.7	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 103, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.69,0.84,0.77,0.37,0	93.6%
LAC 89, POR 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.73,0.62,0.78,0.87,0.26,0	92.7%
NOH 102, NJN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.8,0.78,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.27,0	92.5%