inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 88 Excitement7.7 [280] MVPLee Nailon (CHH): +7.3%
Miami Heat 81 Comeback15.2 [124] LVPSean Marks (MIA): -28.4%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lee Nailon0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.070.060.010.00967%0.0700.00367%-0.02
George Lynch0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.020.00362%0.041-0.02250%-0.01
P.J. Brown0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00656%0.031-0.03475%0.00
Robert Traylor-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.00-0.060.001056%-0.041-0.02771%-0.00
Baron Davis-0.080,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.050.011256%0.013-0.081100%0.00
David Wesley-0.100,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.02-0.01922%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Stacey Augmon-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.0030%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Jamal Mashburn-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.14,-0.21,-0.12,-0.12-0.14-0.01-0.032141%-0.082-0.041486%0.06
Elden Campbell-0.150,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.040.01725%-0.102-0.062100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01952%0.031-0.023100%0.01
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00543%-0.0400.00450%-0.03
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.01950%0.032-0.08250%-0.02
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.07-0.110.031568%0.042-0.11771%-0.01
Kendall Gill0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.01614%-0.0900.0020%-0.03
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.0050%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.10-0.001342%-0.131-0.03580%0.01
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19-0.19-0.09-0.11-0.011127%-0.171-0.0300%0.00
Sean Marks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28-0.28-0.03-0.26-0.00844%-0.191-0.102100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.62.431.116.728.21.833.2140.0
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +25.0%
CHH +16.4%
MIA -2.8%
CHH +15.2%
MIA -3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHMIANBACHHMIANBA
this game15.816.415.696.792.0102.3
season15.916.5102.296.6
opponent15.815.698.2101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH16.016.017.114.215.8
MIA15.317.516.416.616.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lee Nailon39370.77-0.271.040.4212-51715.116.3-1.2317.115.91.16
Jamaal Magloire44420.71-0.210.920.3014-72115.616.0-0.3715.817.0-1.15
David Wesley65640.61-0.110.710.4070715.416.8-1.4916.615.80.85
Jamal Mashburn73730.58-0.080.660.2910-31315.716.1-0.4116.416.30.17
George Lynch36330.58-0.080.660.2910-31315.615.9-0.3716.216.5-0.32
P.J. Brown4948-0.010.51-0.51-0.0107-716.015.50.4316.416.40.06
Robert Traylor44-0.050.55-0.610.01-29-1117.715.72.0615.516.5-0.95
Stacey Augmon3128-0.130.63-0.75-0.07-29-1116.615.31.2615.716.7-1.07
Elden Campbell4342-0.160.66-0.81-0.01-512-1715.815.80.0217.115.81.31
Baron Davis7169-0.400.90-1.30-0.14-916-2516.314.12.1516.217.3-1.09

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vladimir Stepania50490.31-0.811.110.136-131916.316.5-0.1616.514.91.58
Kendall Gill36350.15-0.650.800.034-111516.416.4-0.0815.416.0-0.57
Eddie House40430.05-0.550.610.08-1-6515.317.3-2.0316.215.40.73
Anthony Carter2426-0.11-0.390.290.13-81-917.016.20.8715.815.80.09
Rod Strickland5557-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.433-101316.516.20.3214.517.9-3.31
Eddie Jones7882-0.580.08-0.66-0.31-92-1116.218.0-1.7915.716.1-0.37
Alonzo Mourning5556-0.600.10-0.71-0.52-3-4116.715.90.7515.915.50.39
Sean Marks4749-0.670.17-0.84-0.26-147-2116.915.91.0416.215.21.01
Malik Allen5558-0.710.21-0.93-0.33-136-1916.516.20.2715.815.80.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.92,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.68,0.36,0.35,0.13,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 82, POR 780.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.62,0.72,0.57,0.15,091.6%
POR 110, GSW 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.61,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.51,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.66,0.55,0.46,0.24,0.16,091.2%
MIA 84, PHI 790.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.27,090.8%