NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	101		Excitement	9.1 [165]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (MIL): +43.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	104		Comeback	7.5 [277]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -15.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	5	70%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Wainright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jock Landale	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Damion Lee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	21	47%	0.20	4	-0.23	9	56%	-0.01
Josh Okogie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.07	0.03	7	61%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Deandre Ayton	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.09	0.00	21	52%	0.05	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	21%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	18	46%	-0.01	4	-0.11	3	67%	0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.53,0.44,0.43	0.43	0.20	0.23	-0.00	22	69%	0.53	1	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.26	0.26	0.07	0.19	-0.00	17	58%	0.30	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.07
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.11	0.00	3	87%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	6	46%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	10	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	13	37%	0.00	4	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	3.3	31.3	14.8	24.5	3.4	42.5	150.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +66.2%

PHX -4.8%

PHX -14.6%

MIL +3.4%

PHX -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIL	NBA	PHX	MIL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.5	14.4	106.3	108.3	113.4
season	14.5	14.0		114.2	113.8
opponent	14.2	14.5		111.1	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.5	18.8	14.8	16.2	15.7
MIL	13.7	14.6	15.2	14.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Ross	36	37	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.05	4	-7	11	13.3	17.2	-3.91	14.0	14.7	-0.75
Ish Wainright	35	34	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.12	0	-3	3	16.4	15.3	1.15	14.6	14.4	0.16
Damion Lee	26	27	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-4	5	14.6	16.1	-1.55	14.1	14.6	-0.53
Jock Landale	26	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.14	-5	2	-7	15.5	15.8	-0.34	14.0	14.6	-0.65
Cameron Payne	17	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	5	-13	15.0	15.9	-0.86	12.9	14.7	-1.87
Chris Paul	77	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.52	3	-6	9	15.8	15.3	0.53	14.9	12.1	2.80
Torrey Craig	51	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	1	-5	17.2	13.9	3.30	14.7	14.1	0.61
Devin Booker	75	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.52	-1	-2	1	15.6	16.1	-0.56	14.0	16.3	-2.24
Josh Okogie	64	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.42	-5	2	-7	16.2	14.7	1.48	14.6	14.1	0.58
Deandre Ayton	68	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.59	0	-3	3	15.7	15.6	0.11	14.8	13.4	1.44

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	70	68	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.52	13	-10	23	14.3	15.0	-0.69	16.3	14.3	1.97
Brook Lopez	71	68	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.59	8	-5	13	14.5	14.3	0.19	16.3	14.3	2.02
Joe Ingles	55	56	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.50	3	0	3	15.0	13.7	1.35	16.0	15.3	0.76
Khris Middleton	52	53	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-4	11	14.0	15.0	-0.96	15.2	16.3	-1.13
Jae Crowder	50	47	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	-3	9	14.1	14.8	-0.71	16.6	14.9	1.72
Meyers Leonard	10	12	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	-2	7	13.2	14.6	-1.40	13.6	16.0	-2.43
Bobby Portis	43	44	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.08	-1	4	-5	14.6	14.4	0.18	15.3	16.1	-0.81
Jevon Carter	49	48	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.01	-8	11	-19	14.9	14.0	0.86	14.9	16.5	-1.64
Grayson Allen	55	54	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.02	-10	13	-23	14.6	14.3	0.33	15.7	15.8	-0.09
Pat Connaughton	25	25	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.09	-8	11	-19	14.4	14.5	-0.13	14.8	16.0	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.45,0.67,0.81,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 81, MIA 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.72,1	90.6%
PHX 99, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.43,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.47,0.37,0.69,0.58,1	90.5%
CHI 78, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.77,0.58,1	90.1%