NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	10.0 [70]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +37.4%
Dallas Mavericks	101		Comeback	8.4 [199]		LVP	Josh Howard (DAL): -27.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.04	-0.02	14	80%	0.22	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,0.08	-0.01	0.09	0.00	12	46%	0.22	1	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.02	3	100%	0.14	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.02	0.00	0.05	0.03	16	56%	0.12	4	-0.10	13	69%	-0.11
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	47%	0.00	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	-0.01	11	61%	0.11	4	-0.18	1	100%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.27	-0.01	-0.25	0.02	8	61%	-0.01	3	-0.26	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.46,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.25	0.13	0.00	20	76%	0.42	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.16,-0.07,0.25	0.25	0.03	0.23	0.01	20	53%	0.33	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.07
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.16,-0.28	-0.28	-0.06	-0.21	0.00	15	39%	-0.07	3	-0.21	3	33%	-0.08
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28	-0.28	-0.14	-0.14	-0.00	17	43%	0.15	6	-0.43	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	3.4	30.3	19.4	28.3	2.8	39.0	153.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -30.2%

DAL +24.5%

DAL +37.6%

DAL +4.3%

DAL +13.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	13.3	16.1	15.4	101.0	103.1	104.5
season	13.8	16.3		112.2	108.7
opponent	15.2	16.0		102.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.8	13.4	13.3	12.7	13.3
DAL	17.5	15.4	15.5	16.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	29	28	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.27	-2	0	-2	13.6	13.1	0.46	13.8	17.1	-3.27
Shawn Marion	84	85	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.51	10	-12	22	12.7	16.5	-3.77	16.8	11.9	4.84
Kurt Thomas	20	19	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	8	-18	14.5	12.9	1.61	18.5	15.6	2.92
Raja Bell	90	88	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-6	10	13.2	13.7	-0.53	15.6	20.3	-4.65
Leandro Barbosa	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.40	1	-3	4	13.0	13.8	-0.79	16.5	15.5	0.95
Boris Diaw	52	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.12	-17	15	-32	14.1	12.3	1.73	15.6	16.8	-1.21
Amar'e Stoudemire	81	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.50	4	-6	10	13.1	14.2	-1.17	15.5	19.3	-3.81
Steve Nash	71	72	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.71	0	-2	2	13.4	13.0	0.32	17.1	13.5	3.52

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	87	89	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.59	9	-7	16	16.0	17.0	-0.99	13.5	10.9	2.62
Devin Harris	61	63	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.45	13	-11	24	15.3	17.5	-2.28	13.9	12.1	1.79
Jason Terry	81	83	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.54	10	-8	18	16.8	12.8	3.99	13.6	11.5	2.12
Devean George	59	58	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-4	10	14.7	18.3	-3.63	12.2	14.8	-2.55
Dirk Nowitzki	81	80	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.44	0	2	-2	17.2	11.1	6.06	13.3	13.2	0.12
Erick Dampier	51	49	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.03	-1	3	-4	15.0	17.4	-2.42	13.3	13.2	0.04
DeSagana Diop	23	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	6	-10	20.3	14.8	5.46	14.2	13.0	1.25
Anthony Johnson	15	13	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.02	-9	11	-20	18.5	15.7	2.77	12.5	13.4	-0.93
Greg Buckner	32	31	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	-0.06	-14	16	-30	14.1	17.1	-3.06	11.9	13.9	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.76,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.43,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.29,0.47,0.37,0.69,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 92, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.72,0.83,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.58,1	90.0%
ATL 102, TOR 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.28,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.6,0.45,0.55,0.68,0.84,1	88.6%
PHI 81, MIA 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.72,1	88.6%