NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	8.6 [191]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +26.4%
Charlotte Hornets	98		Comeback	3.6 [391]		LVP	Matt Barnes (MEM): -21.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.07	0.00	5	45%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Zach Randolph	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.06	0.08	-0.01	19	41%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.08
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16	-0.02	-0.15	0.00	18	45%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Conley	-0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18	-0.04	-0.11	0.02	20	45%	-0.10	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21	-0.06	-0.15	0.01	9	39%	-0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.26	0.26	0.10	0.18	0.02	12	73%	0.37	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.08
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.02	0.01	6	117%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	14	62%	0.16	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	7	59%	0.05	3	-0.12	8	87%	0.03
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	8	45%	-0.04	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	8	11%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	33.1	14.7	23.6	1.7	37.3	137.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +45.1%

CHA +36.1%

CHA +7.4%

MEM -39.4%

CHA +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHA	NBA	MEM	CHA	NBA
this game	16.5	14.0	14.9	97.9	103.2	105.1
season	15.7	15.1		103.4	105.5
opponent	14.8	14.8		103.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.9	14.8	16.1	16.8	16.5
CHA	14.7	14.0	13.2	13.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaMychal Green	28	29	0.31	-0.81	1.13	0.17	5	-11	16	16.4	16.6	-0.25	14.3	13.8	0.51
Tony Allen	53	54	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.07	4	-10	14	16.4	16.7	-0.27	15.0	12.6	2.46
Mario Chalmers	36	36	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.06	1	-7	8	15.2	17.4	-2.21	14.4	13.7	0.69
Vince Carter	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-6	6	13.8	16.9	-3.06	14.4	13.9	0.49
Zach Randolph	66	65	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.35	10	-16	26	15.6	18.7	-3.11	14.3	13.3	0.96
Jeff Green	45	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-1	-4	17.5	15.6	1.88	13.7	14.2	-0.51
Mike Conley	58	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	1	-8	17.4	15.2	2.21	13.5	14.7	-1.20
Matt Barnes	55	55	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	5	-16	16.9	16.0	0.91	13.6	14.4	-0.76
Courtney Lee	53	54	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.34	-16	10	-26	17.1	15.8	1.29	13.4	14.7	-1.32
Marc Gasol	66	65	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.50	-11	5	-16	16.6	16.4	0.25	13.6	14.6	-0.99

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	54	54	1.13	-0.63	1.76	0.37	26	-20	46	13.8	14.2	-0.46	17.0	15.9	1.14
Nicolas Batum	80	79	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.30	16	-10	26	14.0	13.9	0.03	16.7	15.5	1.19
Frank Kaminsky	54	54	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.44	7	-1	8	13.1	15.1	-1.96	15.9	17.3	-1.38
Kemba Walker	77	76	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.39	8	-2	10	13.8	14.7	-0.87	17.0	14.7	2.31
Jeremy Lin	57	55	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.42	-2	8	-10	13.9	14.1	-0.16	15.1	18.5	-3.43
PJ Hairston	35	34	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	-2	10	14.4	13.7	0.75	17.8	15.8	1.93
Tyler Hansbrough	9	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.03	-5	11	-16	13.6	14.0	-0.44	16.2	16.6	-0.31
Jeremy Lamb	30	31	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.12	-6	12	-18	14.5	13.7	0.74	15.9	16.8	-0.94
Marvin Williams	44	45	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.16	-6	12	-18	14.5	13.5	0.97	17.3	15.9	1.41
Al Jefferson	35	34	-0.55	1.05	-1.60	-0.08	-16	22	-38	14.6	13.6	0.97	16.0	16.8	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.72,0.83,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.62,0.63,0.43,0.28,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.61,0.46,0.41,0.58,1	90.7%
NYK 86, HOU 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.73,1	90.2%
SAS 77, DET 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.43,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.47,0.47,0.67,0.48,0.45,0.23,0.73,1	90.0%