NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	7.2 [389]		MVP	Mike James (TOR): +26.1%
Toronto Raptors	108		Comeback	7.3 [277]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -34.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.05	0.01	17	74%	0.33	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	7	87%	0.14	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Josh Childress	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.00	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.01	10	70%	0.04	3	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
Josh Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	45%	-0.00	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.34	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.34,-0.34	-0.07	-0.28	-0.01	16	55%	0.01	6	-0.36	1	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26	0.26	0.21	0.08	0.03	17	72%	0.26	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.08	0.05	16	72%	0.24	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.10	-0.00	10	60%	0.17	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	47%	0.08	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.09	-0.05	11	54%	0.08	4	-0.16	6	83%	-0.00
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	22.3	16.4	25.0	1.5	36.6	129.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +16.0%

TOR +0.1%

TOR +4.9%

TOR +33.1%

ATL -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	15.6	108.5	114.9	104.4
season	15.6	15.6		103.9	107.3
opponent	15.4	15.5		110.5	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.1	14.7	13.1	16.1	14.5
TOR	15.9	17.2	17.7	13.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	48	48	0.45	-0.95	1.39	-0.02	16	-22	38	13.6	15.4	-1.81	17.6	14.7	2.93
Salim Stoudamire	34	35	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-9	12	14.3	14.6	-0.26	15.0	16.8	-1.88
John Thomas	19	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-2	-2	11.4	15.3	-3.91	17.3	15.9	1.40
Royal Ivey	19	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	0	-6	15.5	14.2	1.30	17.3	15.9	1.40
Josh Smith	39	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	6	-18	15.1	14.1	1.00	16.4	16.0	0.36
Tyronn Lue	51	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-5	4	13.1	16.1	-2.96	15.6	16.8	-1.24
Josh Childress	63	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	0	-6	14.8	13.9	0.87	16.6	15.2	1.41
Joe Johnson	77	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	-1	-4	14.9	12.4	2.54	16.2	16.1	0.11
Zaza Pachulia	51	54	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.52	-4	-2	-2	14.8	14.1	0.73	15.9	16.5	-0.70
Al Harrington	69	70	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.33	-11	5	-16	15.4	12.0	3.45	15.3	18.7	-3.38

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	63	64	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.46	19	-13	32	14.9	18.7	-3.87	15.1	13.1	1.99
Chris Bosh	79	77	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-3	12	15.7	18.7	-3.00	15.2	11.2	3.97
Morris Peterson	84	84	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-3	12	16.2	15.9	0.28	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Charlie Villanueva	60	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	4	-2	15.6	17.1	-1.56	13.7	15.8	-2.04
Jalen Rose	43	43	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	8	-10	16.3	16.0	0.28	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Rafael Araujo	22	23	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	-3	12	17.1	15.9	1.23	16.1	14.0	2.12
Joey Graham	49	48	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	0	6	16.0	16.4	-0.40	14.6	14.4	0.19
Matt Bonner	27	28	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	14	-22	18.0	15.4	2.65	12.8	15.2	-2.43
Jose Calderon	43	43	-0.56	1.06	-1.62	-0.15	-14	20	-34	18.0	14.6	3.45	13.6	15.2	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.28,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.6,0.45,0.55,0.68,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 83, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.99,1	90.9%
UTA 99, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.46,0.39,0.63,0.57,0.85,1	90.3%
ORL 98, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.91,1	90.1%