NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	78		Excitement	8.2 [245]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +14.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	83		Comeback	5.3 [373]		LVP	Bobby Simmons (LAC): -30.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	3	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,0.04,-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	17	41%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	8	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Duhon	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	13	35%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.11	-0.02	17	47%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	18	49%	-0.06	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,0,0.14	0.14	-0.07	0.20	-0.01	13	56%	0.29	4	-0.15	10	60%	-0.05
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	79%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.04
Lionel Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	7	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	12	61%	0.00	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.06
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.09	-0.21	-0.00	11	38%	-0.28	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	31.1	16.0	28.1	1.0	29.7	131.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +27.3%

LAC +7.4%

LAC +18.7%

CHI -11.3%

LAC +7.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAC	NBA	CHI	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	17.1	15.5	87.6	92.2	104.0
season	15.1	16.0		100.1	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.8	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.2	14.4	16.0	14.9	15.1
LAC	13.0	19.0	17.5	19.4	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	42	43	0.39	-0.89	1.28	-0.02	14	-19	33	15.1	15.1	0.08	18.7	15.6	3.17
Eric Piatkowski	26	26	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.13	3	-8	11	14.5	15.3	-0.79	19.2	16.2	3.04
Adrian Griffin	5	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-4	3	19.2	14.9	4.34	23.6	16.7	6.92
Andres Nocioni	39	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	-1	-3	15.2	15.0	0.23	14.8	18.8	-3.99
Tyson Chandler	41	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	8	-21	14.9	15.2	-0.32	15.4	18.5	-3.08
Eddy Curry	56	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-6	7	14.8	15.6	-0.80	18.6	14.2	4.37
Kirk Hinrich	76	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.45	-3	-2	-1	15.4	13.1	2.37	17.3	15.5	1.88
Ben Gordon	44	46	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.35	-7	2	-9	15.1	15.1	-0.07	17.5	16.6	0.98
Othella Harrington	38	36	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	5	-15	15.9	14.5	1.38	15.4	18.1	-2.70
Chris Duhon	78	78	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.48	-5	0	-5	14.5	19.1	-4.55	16.1	23.5	-7.42

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	61	60	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.43	17	-12	29	15.4	20.5	-5.04	15.0	15.3	-0.36
Zeljko Rebraca	36	36	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.53	8	-3	11	20.0	15.1	4.84	14.9	15.2	-0.31
Bobby Simmons	72	72	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.37	11	-6	17	16.9	17.7	-0.75	15.8	12.3	3.47
Corey Maggette	75	74	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-5	15	16.1	21.7	-5.60	14.9	16.1	-1.16
Elton Brand	64	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-5	15	17.0	17.2	-0.23	16.3	11.8	4.47
Marko Jaric	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	5	-5	18.5	17.0	1.47	27.3	14.7	12.66
Chris Kaman	47	47	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.11	3	2	1	15.2	19.1	-3.97	15.8	14.3	1.54
Mikki Moore	9	9	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	9	-13	14.8	17.3	-2.54	11.3	15.5	-4.19
Chris Wilcox	22	20	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	14	-23	19.0	16.4	2.62	11.9	16.0	-4.13
Quinton Ross	35	33	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.02	-9	14	-23	18.4	16.2	2.18	13.8	15.8	-1.99
Lionel Chalmers	27	26	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.08	-12	17	-29	20.6	15.5	5.09	14.0	15.6	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.32,0.46,0.77,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 98, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.84,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.42,0.31,0.15,0.17,0.53,0.63,0.85,0.84,1	91.0%
PHX 109, MIN 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.65,0.83,1	90.7%
HOU 97, CHH 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.9,0.9,1	90.6%