NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	109		Excitement	9.8 [81]		MVP	Kevin Martin (MIN): +26.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	111		Comeback	2.9 [440]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -19.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.17	0.13	0.06	0.03	21	63%	0.23	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.05
Marcus Morris	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	9	64%	0.17	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Gerald Green	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	14	43%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	8	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.05
Reggie Bullock	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	10	48%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.05
TJ Warren	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	11	43%	-0.10	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.14	0.03	16	68%	0.28	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23	0.23	0.06	0.16	-0.01	15	62%	0.27	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	0.01	8	68%	0.15	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	55%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.07	-0.01	16	40%	0.09	3	-0.11	8	75%	0.01
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	8%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.32,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	10	38%	0.02	3	-0.21	6	83%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	30.6	15.5	26.6	2.3	42.7	145.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +49.5%

MIN +1.6%

MIN +12.8%

PHX -21.0%

MIN +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	14.4	14.4	15.1	109.0	111.0	104.2
season	14.4	15.0		103.7	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		110.5	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.0	15.4	13.2	15.1	14.4
MIN	14.2	13.5	15.6	14.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	32	33	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.05	5	-7	12	12.8	15.2	-2.38	13.8	14.7	-0.87
Archie Goodwin	46	45	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.03	5	-7	12	13.5	15.2	-1.68	14.4	14.3	0.14
Reggie Bullock	3	3	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-3	4	17.3	14.3	2.99	14.0	14.4	-0.38
Gerald Green	63	64	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-1	0	14.4	14.5	-0.05	14.2	14.6	-0.42
TJ Warren	28	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	0	-2	14.0	14.6	-0.60	12.9	14.9	-1.96
Marcus Morris	53	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.50	4	-6	10	13.8	15.1	-1.32	13.9	14.9	-0.99
Alex Len	70	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.29	-7	5	-12	15.3	12.5	2.80	15.0	12.9	2.10
Markieff Morris	76	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.52	-2	0	-2	14.9	13.1	1.77	14.8	13.2	1.54
Eric Bledsoe	74	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.36	-8	6	-14	14.8	13.3	1.52	14.4	14.4	-0.01
PJ Tucker	55	56	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.48	-5	3	-8	14.6	14.2	0.42	14.6	14.0	0.62

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	77	74	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.35	14	-12	26	14.4	14.3	0.14	15.1	12.6	2.50
Kevin Martin	70	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.44	8	-6	14	15.0	13.0	1.96	14.8	13.6	1.19
Gorgui Dieng	78	77	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.56	-2	4	-6	14.6	13.5	1.06	14.4	14.5	-0.12
Andrew Wiggins	76	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.57	-5	7	-12	14.8	13.0	1.80	14.4	14.7	-0.29
Nikola Pekovic	72	72	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	-2	6	14.9	13.1	1.75	15.3	12.2	3.08
Gary Neal	26	25	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	-4	10	12.0	15.2	-3.15	13.9	14.6	-0.73
Anthony Bennett	18	19	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	-4	10	13.6	14.5	-0.93	14.3	14.5	-0.21
Adreian Payne	30	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	5	-8	14.0	14.5	-0.58	13.2	15.0	-1.80
Shabazz Muhammad	29	29	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	8	-14	13.3	14.8	-1.49	13.6	14.8	-1.19
Zach LaVine	24	26	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.08	-12	14	-26	13.8	14.5	-0.71	12.6	15.1	-2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.65,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 87, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.83,0.85,1	93.2%
LAL 96, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.34,0.17,0.31,0.64,0.77,0.9,1	91.4%
MIN 82, SAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.32,0.72,1	91.3%