inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 119 Excitement14.0 [6] MVPLauri Markkanen (UTA): +84.9%
Utah Jazz 120 Comeback19.2 [103] LVPTalen Horton-Tucker (UTA): -32.1%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenrich Williams0.450,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.24,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.450.130.310.001080%0.4500.0000%0.00
Jaylin Williams0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.070.07-0.01779%0.181-0.0300%0.00
Josh Giddey0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.1,0.05-0.120.15-0.012337%0.133-0.08367%0.02
Tre Mann0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.01-0.00740%0.0100.001100%0.00
Luguentz Dort0.010,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.080.08-0.001434%0.041-0.04475%0.06
Jalen Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.001045%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Dario Saric-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01617%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.120.09-0.200.022655%-0.042-0.081979%-0.07
Isaiah Joe-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.02-0.120.00642%-0.121-0.0200%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.850.850.210.650.012865%1.014-0.1610100%0.26
Walker Kessler0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.210.210.040.170.01470%0.2100.0020%-0.23
Kris Dunn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.001055%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Rudy Gay00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ochai Agbaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.011150%0.042-0.07250%-0.02
Damian Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Jordan Clarkson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.06-0.060.02-0.09-0.011956%0.174-0.22580%0.05
Juan Toscano-Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.060.01767%0.024-0.104100%0.06
Simone Fontecchio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.00812%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32-0.32-0.12-0.21-0.011135%-0.074-0.254100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game29.51.825.515.227.41.829.02.415.4148.1
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.42.315.0135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +32.9%
UTA +35.5%
UTA +33.8%
OKC -59.7%
UTA +7.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCUTANBAOKCUTANBA
this game14.414.114.4108.2106.2113.4
season13.714.3113.5114.4
opponent14.114.5115.5112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
OKC13.112.915.315.417.314.4
UTA15.114.812.414.014.414.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tre Mann29280.26-0.761.010.028-91713.814.7-0.8614.813.90.92
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl23230.11-0.610.72-0.045-61113.114.8-1.6415.013.91.08
Josh Giddey79840.04-0.540.570.040-1114.613.90.7713.815.0-1.21
Dario Saric26250.02-0.520.530.05-10-114.414.4-0.0114.913.91.00
Kenrich Williams5860-0.24-0.260.01-0.426-71313.615.4-1.8214.613.61.00
Jalen Williams6969-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.04-109-1914.614.10.5314.114.10.05
Isaiah Joe4446-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.33-10-114.014.7-0.6414.513.80.72
Jaylin Williams5356-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.16-76-1315.013.91.0313.814.4-0.55
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander8487-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.490-1114.414.40.0113.914.8-0.97
Luguentz Dort7677-0.630.13-0.76-0.51-43-714.813.61.2613.515.5-2.02

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lauri Markkanen86820.82-0.321.140.4114-132714.313.60.6614.613.90.72
Walker Kessler77770.72-0.220.950.498-71514.114.2-0.1014.913.21.74
Jordan Clarkson76740.60-0.100.710.6001-113.814.8-1.0214.514.20.26
Kelly Olynyk66640.56-0.060.620.1813-122514.014.3-0.3115.513.02.49
Talen Horton-Tucker74720.55-0.050.600.2610-91914.114.2-0.0915.312.82.50
Ochai Agbaji49470.190.31-0.120.66-1617-3313.114.8-1.7213.715.0-1.30
Rudy Gay66-0.020.52-0.53-0.0201-120.013.86.2311.814.6-2.74
Simone Fontecchio3131-0.090.59-0.67-0.1210114.314.00.2214.214.5-0.33
Juan Toscano-Anderson3435-0.200.70-0.89-0.05-56-1113.714.3-0.5213.914.7-0.84
Damian Jones2927-0.280.78-1.06-0.02-910-1915.013.81.1712.715.0-2.33
Kris Dunn3735-0.360.86-1.22-0.04-1112-2314.613.80.7812.615.3-2.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.54,0.25,0.45,0.16,0.31,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 119, BKN 1200.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.28,0.14,0.21,0.32,0.43,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.42,188.8%
NJN 88, NYK 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.33,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.23,0.09,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.42,188.6%
WAS 99, LAL 1020.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.37,0.1,0.09,0.5,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.27,188.5%