NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	88		Excitement	10.3 [43]		MVP	Buck Williams (NYK): +4.7%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	20.8 [47]		LVP	Sam Cassell (NJN): -57.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	0.00
David Benoit	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Edwards	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	11	31%	-0.12	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Keith Van Horn	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	14	39%	-0.17	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.09	0.01	19	30%	-0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.58	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.08,-0.58	-0.12	-0.48	-0.02	26	52%	-0.21	6	-0.37	14	79%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,0.04	0.04	-0.11	0.14	-0.01	6	50%	0.24	6	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	69%	0.06	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.05,0.18,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	19	42%	0.05	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	14	31%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.06	-0.18	0.01	19	51%	-0.07	3	-0.18	9	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	29.6	15.6	25.1	2.2	33.6	2.3	23.8	160.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +96.0%

NJN -20.7%

NJN -8.7%

NJN -17.4%

NYK +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	18.2	13.8	15.6	88.9	89.0	102.5
season	15.6	15.7		104.9	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.2		98.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	14.6	17.3	19.4	21.2	21.7	18.2
NYK	12.5	12.9	14.9	13.7	18.5	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	65	65	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.03	9	-10	19	18.0	18.5	-0.49	14.0	13.6	0.40
Michael Cage	33	32	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.17	-3	2	-5	18.6	17.9	0.73	13.2	14.1	-0.85
Kevin Edwards	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	0	-1	18.4	18.1	0.30	12.0	13.9	-1.95
David Benoit	25	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	6	-13	19.4	17.7	1.72	13.9	13.8	0.12
Kerry Kittles	86	87	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-1	1	17.6	21.8	-4.25	14.3	10.9	3.34
Sherman Douglas	38	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	6	-13	19.7	17.2	2.49	13.4	14.1	-0.62
Keith Van Horn	88	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.50	1	-2	3	17.5	23.5	-5.97	13.7	14.5	-0.80
Jayson Williams	66	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.64	2	-3	5	17.9	18.6	-0.73	14.1	13.2	0.85
Sam Cassell	80	82	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.70	2	-3	5	18.1	18.2	-0.01	13.2	16.8	-3.59

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	55	54	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.50	12	-11	23	13.9	13.8	0.09	19.3	16.7	2.60
Buck Williams	48	50	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.52	11	-10	21	14.5	13.2	1.25	19.8	16.5	3.25
Allan Houston	91	90	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	-2	5	14.1	11.4	2.62	18.2	17.8	0.41
Larry Johnson	68	69	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	-12	25	13.5	14.6	-1.17	18.8	16.7	2.13
Chris Mills	72	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.48	-6	7	-13	13.2	15.3	-2.07	17.2	20.4	-3.23
Charles Oakley	59	55	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.46	-7	8	-15	13.8	13.9	-0.12	16.2	20.5	-4.31
Charlie Ward	75	75	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	3	-5	13.8	13.8	-0.01	18.6	16.9	1.69
John Starks	32	33	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	0.09	-19	20	-39	14.3	13.6	0.71	16.6	18.9	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.33,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.23,0.09,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 120, ATL 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.07,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.55,0.58,1	88.4%
SAC 101, HOU 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.17,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.11,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.19,0.37,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.55,0.85,1	87.8%
DET 119, BKN 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.28,0.14,0.21,0.32,0.43,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.42,1	87.4%