NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	119		Excitement	13.2 [16]		MVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (BKN): +85.2%
Brooklyn Nets	120		Comeback	11.3 [156]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (BKN): -20.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.25,0.49,0.35	-0.00	0.35	-0.01	18	58%	0.50	6	-0.15	7	71%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson III	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	5	69%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	3	82%	0.09	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Andre Drummond	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	14	63%	0.24	4	-0.17	10	80%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	67%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Langston Galloway	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Bullock	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	9	43%	-0.04	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Reggie Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	23	43%	-0.06	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.06

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.33,0.33,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.85	0.85	0.17	0.68	-0.00	15	74%	1.03	2	-0.18	4	100%	0.04
Joe Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.10	0.01	14	74%	0.31	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.19	0.01	8	67%	0.27	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.07
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	9	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.16	-0.01	16	50%	-0.12	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.04
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	0.00	6	25%	-0.07	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.17	-0.07	-0.04	15	19%	-0.14	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.3	1.8	30.6	15.4	29.0	1.6	37.6	2.0	12.9	160.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +36.1%

BKN +2.3%

BKN +23.6%

DET -5.9%

DET -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BKN	NBA	DET	BKN	NBA
this game	13.9	14.8	14.3	108.2	107.1	109.3
season	15.3	14.3		107.5	108.6
opponent	14.0	14.0		109.1	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	11.7	12.4	15.2	15.9	17.5	13.9
BKN	14.0	13.4	14.8	16.8	16.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Smith	54	52	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.24	3	-4	7	14.3	13.5	0.80	15.3	14.3	1.01
Zaza Pachulia	27	28	0.31	-0.81	1.11	-0.10	14	-15	29	10.1	15.1	-4.96	16.5	14.2	2.33
Langston Galloway	13	12	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-5	9	15.2	13.7	1.43	13.4	14.9	-1.49
Jose Calderon	33	35	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-5	9	12.3	14.6	-2.27	13.9	15.2	-1.30
Glenn Robinson III	32	31	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.26	11	-12	23	12.9	14.3	-1.34	15.3	14.5	0.75
Stanley Johnson	61	61	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	0	-1	13.1	14.9	-1.82	14.5	15.1	-0.60
Bruce Brown	61	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-4	7	13.5	14.4	-0.86	15.9	13.4	2.44
Reggie Bullock	20	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	10	-21	14.0	13.9	0.13	11.2	15.6	-4.38
Andre Drummond	76	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.23	-11	10	-21	14.7	12.0	2.78	14.6	15.1	-0.44
Reggie Jackson	71	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.49	-5	4	-9	14.1	13.6	0.51	14.9	14.4	0.60
Blake Griffin	86	87	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.41	-14	13	-27	14.8	10.5	4.28	14.1	16.8	-2.69

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caris LeVert	82	81	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.42	13	-12	25	14.4	15.7	-1.25	14.5	12.1	2.47
Jared Dudley	79	77	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.53	9	-8	17	14.6	15.2	-0.61	14.3	12.8	1.49
Spencer Dinwiddie	62	61	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.50	7	-6	13	15.2	14.1	1.10	15.4	12.0	3.45
Joe Harris	88	85	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.49	2	-1	3	14.3	16.5	-2.28	14.0	13.7	0.27
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	53	51	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.41	2	-1	3	13.9	15.5	-1.67	13.9	13.9	0.06
Allen Crabbe	45	45	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.19	-8	9	-17	13.9	15.3	-1.37	13.2	14.4	-1.13
D'Angelo Russell	56	55	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	3	-5	15.2	14.3	0.96	12.4	15.4	-3.02
Jarrett Allen	40	42	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.25	3	-2	5	16.9	13.5	3.38	14.7	13.4	1.29
Ed Davis	43	41	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.02	-8	9	-17	14.0	15.2	-1.14	12.6	14.7	-2.08
Shabazz Napier	12	12	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.11	-13	14	-27	19.2	14.2	5.04	9.3	14.4	-5.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.28,0.14,0.21,0.32,0.43,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 107, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.58,1	89.1%
SEA 119, TOR 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.58,1	88.7%
MIA 94, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.72,1	88.2%