inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 94 Excitement11.1 [31] MVPMike James (MIA): +28.0%
Atlanta Hawks 100 Comeback11.1 [216] LVPEddie Jones (MIA): -47.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike James0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.5,0.5,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.280.040.22-0.011354%0.2800.002100%0.01
Rasual Butler0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Eddie House-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01944%0.022-0.0700%0.00
Vladimir Stepania-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.00-0.00520%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Travis Best-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00825%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Caron Butler-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.100.00-0.011147%-0.013-0.08875%0.04
Malik Allen-0.200,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.18,-0.2-0.08-0.13-0.002440%-0.151-0.05475%-0.02
Brian Grant-0.300,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3-0.10-0.21-0.011137%-0.072-0.24580%0.00
Eddie Jones-0.470,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.04,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.35,-0.47-0.04-0.420.012044%-0.351-0.12560%-0.09

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.050.05-0.030.07-0.011857%0.143-0.101587%0.10
Matt Maloney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Glenn Robinson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.23,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.05-0.012645%0.082-0.061100%0.01
Emanual Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.010.010.000.000.00370%0.031-0.02475%0.02
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.00450%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Darvin Ham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.010.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.00237%-0.043-0.09475%0.01
Ira Newble0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.26-0.08-0.19-0.00533%-0.032-0.232100%0.04
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28,-0.23,-0.31-0.31-0.07-0.230.011555%-0.114-0.211486%0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.32.427.615.628.22.437.51.521.3161.9
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.91.917.2149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +19.3%
ATL +46.7%
MIA -0.8%
MIA -14.5%
MIA -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game17.714.115.594.0100.0101.6
season16.315.194.699.5
opponent15.715.9103.1100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA18.818.417.916.815.517.7
ATL12.015.915.614.511.714.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie House40390.60-1.101.700.484-101417.817.60.1514.314.00.36
Vladimir Stepania38380.02-0.520.540.22-71-819.916.43.4815.213.41.76
Rasual Butler11-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-668.017.8-9.814.014.2-10.19
Mike James4546-0.07-0.430.37-0.215-111615.719.4-3.6713.714.4-0.77
Anthony Carter88-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-2-219.117.61.5411.614.3-2.68
Travis Best4746-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.14-71-819.416.23.2014.913.41.56
Caron Butler6666-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.40-1-5418.616.12.5014.313.60.76
Eddie Jones8889-0.540.04-0.57-0.39-5-1-417.320.4-3.0814.114.00.10
Brian Grant7675-0.540.04-0.59-0.46-3-3017.418.7-1.3713.914.7-0.79
Malik Allen8081-0.610.11-0.72-0.43-60-617.120.2-3.1713.915.0-1.12

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alan Henderson60591.00-0.501.500.6213-72013.714.6-0.9317.118.7-1.61
Jason Terry85860.54-0.040.580.3660614.114.10.0317.618.3-0.67
Glenn Robinson84850.480.020.470.3933014.511.72.7917.817.10.76
Shareef Abdur-Rahim84850.480.020.460.4224-214.113.90.2617.618.5-0.89
Ira Newble84850.460.040.420.4024-214.511.72.7917.618.5-0.89
Emanual Davis33310.100.40-0.31-0.148-21012.215.0-2.8017.817.70.09
Matt Maloney670.030.47-0.44-0.0324-214.514.10.4419.917.52.31
Theo Ratliff4445-0.280.78-1.05-0.10-612-1815.612.92.6819.016.62.43
Darvin Ham2017-0.320.82-1.13-0.3206-610.914.9-3.9316.717.9-1.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 117, PHI 1230.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.58,191.3%
TOR 100, NJN 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.29,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.84,0.76,0.91,190.6%
CHA 107, DET 1100.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.58,189.6%