NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	128		Excitement	11.3 [39]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (DAL): +39.8%
Sacramento Kings	133		Comeback	5.8 [257]		LVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): -34.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.40	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,0.27,0.27,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.4	0.14	0.29	0.04	21	64%	0.42	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Josh Green	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.18	0.15	0.02	12	85%	0.36	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Christian Wood	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.12	0.17	0.00	10	71%	0.29	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Dwight Powell	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14	0.00	0.14	0.01	3	70%	0.19	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Pinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.14	-0.06	7	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luka Doncic	-0.34	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.34	0.01	-0.32	0.03	20	60%	0.00	6	-0.34	5	60%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	12	85%	0.37	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,0.04,0.12,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.14	0.03	23	60%	0.35	4	-0.17	14	86%	0.11
Terence Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	17	65%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	7	82%	0.21	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.00	14	54%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	16	38%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	2.0	24.2	14.7	24.3	3.3	29.6	2.4	17.1	141.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -35.7%

SAC +11.2%

SAC +29.5%

SAC +41.2%

SAC +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAC	NBA	DAL	SAC	NBA
this game	16.3	12.6	14.4	117.4	119.8	113.4
season	15.2	13.5		115.5	117.3
opponent	14.8	14.3		115.2	115.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	15.8	15.7	15.7	18.0	16.9	16.3
SAC	12.5	13.1	12.5	12.8	11.9	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	33	33	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.12	10	-15	25	15.1	16.8	-1.74	13.6	12.2	1.38
Frank Ntilikina	13	13	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.16	0	-5	5	14.6	16.5	-1.92	12.1	12.7	-0.64
Reggie Bullock	70	70	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-8	11	16.7	15.6	1.03	13.5	11.1	2.45
JaVale McGee	22	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-2	-1	16.7	16.2	0.47	13.1	12.5	0.62
Dwight Powell	50	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.46	9	-14	23	15.7	16.8	-1.11	12.5	12.8	-0.25
Jaden Hardy	35	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.24	-15	10	-25	17.2	15.9	1.28	11.7	13.1	-1.43
Christian Wood	37	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	4	-13	16.9	16.0	0.89	12.5	12.7	-0.15
Kyrie Irving	87	88	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.45	7	-12	19	16.0	17.7	-1.73	12.8	12.1	0.70
Theo Pinson	24	23	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.16	-17	12	-29	16.0	16.4	-0.39	10.0	13.3	-3.38
Luka Doncic	83	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.50	2	-7	9	16.1	16.8	-0.66	12.7	12.4	0.26
Josh Green	81	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.36	-7	2	-9	16.9	14.5	2.43	12.6	12.7	-0.07

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terence Davis	69	66	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.45	12	-7	19	12.0	13.6	-1.58	16.2	16.4	-0.19
Kevin Huerter	79	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-5	15	12.9	12.1	0.77	17.2	14.2	3.04
De'Aaron Fox	89	85	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	1	3	12.6	13.0	-0.45	16.2	16.7	-0.52
Domantas Sabonis	84	84	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	4	-3	12.9	11.9	0.99	16.7	15.0	1.69
Trey Lyles	53	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.20	14	-9	23	11.3	13.8	-2.49	16.8	15.8	1.06
Harrison Barnes	80	77	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.48	-14	19	-33	13.5	10.3	3.21	15.8	17.6	-1.87
Davion Mitchell	24	27	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	4	-3	12.0	12.8	-0.82	15.4	16.6	-1.14
Chimezie Metu	17	17	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	2	1	12.6	12.6	-0.06	16.1	16.3	-0.22
Keegan Murray	60	59	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	11	-17	13.0	12.2	0.89	15.5	17.2	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.64,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.55,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 116, MIL 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.55,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.96,1	88.7%
DET 106, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.33,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.76,0.92,1	88.6%
CHI 85, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.31,0.28,0.1,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.84,0.96,1	88.2%