inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 116 Excitement11.3 [38] MVPCharlie Villanueva (TOR): +77.9%
Milwaukee Bucks 125 Comeback4.5 [483] LVPMike James (TOR): -46.8%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva0.780,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.780.290.490.003272%0.863-0.08367%-0.00
Matt Bonner0.320,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.32,0.32,0.320.140.170.005108%0.3200.002100%0.01
Eric Williams0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.050.00480%0.131-0.04250%-0.01
Pape Sow0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.040.00757%0.0700.0000%0.00
Rafael Araujo0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.0300%0.0010.0100%0.00
Andre Barrett-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01440%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Joey Graham-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Morris Peterson-0.180,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.00-0.19-0.011550%-0.092-0.094100%0.02
Darrick Martin-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23-0.04-0.180.00631%-0.2300.00425%-0.13
Mike James-0.470,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.34,-0.34,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.47,-0.47-0.14-0.35-0.011634%-0.274-0.2000%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.31,0.25,0.250.250.160.110.022065%0.312-0.051493%0.05
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.240.240.140.110.00486%0.281-0.041479%-0.09
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.100.08-0.00977%0.231-0.04425%-0.12
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.080.021158%0.152-0.06450%-0.02
Jermaine Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jiri Welsch00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charlie Bell0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.07-0.09-0.021264%0.092-0.10475%-0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.030.000.02756%0.083-0.122100%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00650%0.022-0.06250%-0.01
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.040.01433%-0.022-0.071100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.81.830.015.828.12.435.21.814.0153.9
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +18.3%
MIL +23.9%
MIL +18.6%
TOR -13.2%
MIL +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMILNBATORMILNBA
this game16.815.415.6117.2126.3104.4
season15.615.5107.3104.6
opponent15.515.4106.0110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR16.615.316.019.916.316.8
MIL13.316.015.317.115.315.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh15140.07-0.570.64-0.054-131715.117.0-1.9114.915.4-0.51
Joey Graham26270.04-0.540.570.15-4-5116.916.70.2216.315.01.33
Eric Williams30320.00-0.500.50-0.062-111316.916.70.2015.715.20.57
Rafael Araujo44-0.02-0.480.470.01-1-8718.216.71.5618.515.23.27
Pape Sow5451-0.04-0.460.41-0.040-9916.616.9-0.2414.716.0-1.28
Andre Barrett99-0.09-0.410.320.06-5-4-117.016.70.2717.815.12.66
Darrick Martin4446-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.28-2-7517.016.60.4415.914.90.95
Charlie Villanueva8485-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.26-6-3-317.114.92.1515.514.80.67
Morris Peterson9191-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.25-8-1-716.815.90.9615.118.1-3.00
Matt Bonner5454-0.570.07-0.64-0.19-134-1716.317.4-1.1014.915.9-1.04
Mike James8482-0.640.14-0.77-0.28-123-1516.717.1-0.3615.116.5-1.34

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charlie Bell87880.81-0.311.110.3117-82515.216.6-1.3916.717.5-0.78
Toni Kukoc56530.76-0.261.010.2019-102915.615.00.6417.715.71.94
Bobby Simmons82830.58-0.080.660.2910-11115.116.8-1.6916.816.30.53
Michael Redd89900.430.070.360.2372515.117.6-2.4916.816.10.71
Joe Smith35310.420.080.340.2563316.914.52.3117.516.41.06
Dan Gadzuric40430.410.090.32-0.0616-72315.115.6-0.4816.716.8-0.02
Jiri Welsch32-0.200.70-0.89-0.05-514-1920.315.25.1219.016.72.29
Jermaine Jackson2422-0.200.70-0.910.00-716-2317.214.82.4316.816.70.08
Andrew Bogut4346-0.220.72-0.94-0.04-615-2114.416.1-1.6715.517.8-2.27
Jamaal Magloire3637-0.290.79-1.080.06-1221-3315.015.6-0.6216.117.2-1.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.55,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 97, UTA 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.83,188.7%
POR 87, UTA 920.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.69,188.7%
GSW 89, MIL 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.96,188.4%