NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	116		Excitement	11.3 [38]		MVP	Charlie Villanueva (TOR): +77.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	125		Comeback	4.5 [483]		LVP	Mike James (TOR): -46.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.78	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78	0.29	0.49	0.00	32	72%	0.86	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Matt Bonner	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.14	0.17	0.00	5	108%	0.32	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	80%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Pape Sow	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Barrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.00	-0.19	-0.01	15	50%	-0.09	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Darrick Martin	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	0.00	6	31%	-0.23	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.13
Mike James	-0.47	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.34,-0.34,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.47,-0.47	-0.14	-0.35	-0.01	16	34%	-0.27	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.31,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.11	0.02	20	65%	0.31	2	-0.05	14	93%	0.05
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.24	0.24	0.14	0.11	0.00	4	86%	0.28	1	-0.04	14	79%	-0.09
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.08	-0.00	9	77%	0.23	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.12
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.08	0.02	11	58%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.09	-0.02	12	64%	0.09	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.08	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	4	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	30.0	15.8	28.1	2.4	35.2	1.8	14.0	153.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +18.3%

MIL +23.9%

MIL +18.6%

TOR -13.2%

MIL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MIL	NBA	TOR	MIL	NBA
this game	16.8	15.4	15.6	117.2	126.3	104.4
season	15.6	15.5		107.3	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		106.0	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	16.6	15.3	16.0	19.9	16.3	16.8
MIL	13.3	16.0	15.3	17.1	15.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	15	14	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-13	17	15.1	17.0	-1.91	14.9	15.4	-0.51
Joey Graham	26	27	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.15	-4	-5	1	16.9	16.7	0.22	16.3	15.0	1.33
Eric Williams	30	32	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	16.9	16.7	0.20	15.7	15.2	0.57
Rafael Araujo	4	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-8	7	18.2	16.7	1.56	18.5	15.2	3.27
Pape Sow	54	51	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-9	9	16.6	16.9	-0.24	14.7	16.0	-1.28
Andre Barrett	9	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-4	-1	17.0	16.7	0.27	17.8	15.1	2.66
Darrick Martin	44	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.28	-2	-7	5	17.0	16.6	0.44	15.9	14.9	0.95
Charlie Villanueva	84	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-3	-3	17.1	14.9	2.15	15.5	14.8	0.67
Morris Peterson	91	91	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	-1	-7	16.8	15.9	0.96	15.1	18.1	-3.00
Matt Bonner	54	54	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	4	-17	16.3	17.4	-1.10	14.9	15.9	-1.04
Mike James	84	82	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.28	-12	3	-15	16.7	17.1	-0.36	15.1	16.5	-1.34

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Bell	87	88	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.31	17	-8	25	15.2	16.6	-1.39	16.7	17.5	-0.78
Toni Kukoc	56	53	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.20	19	-10	29	15.6	15.0	0.64	17.7	15.7	1.94
Bobby Simmons	82	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-1	11	15.1	16.8	-1.69	16.8	16.3	0.53
Michael Redd	89	90	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	2	5	15.1	17.6	-2.49	16.8	16.1	0.71
Joe Smith	35	31	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	3	3	16.9	14.5	2.31	17.5	16.4	1.06
Dan Gadzuric	40	43	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-7	23	15.1	15.6	-0.48	16.7	16.8	-0.02
Jiri Welsch	3	2	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.05	-5	14	-19	20.3	15.2	5.12	19.0	16.7	2.29
Jermaine Jackson	24	22	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.00	-7	16	-23	17.2	14.8	2.43	16.8	16.7	0.08
Andrew Bogut	43	46	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.04	-6	15	-21	14.4	16.1	-1.67	15.5	17.8	-2.27
Jamaal Magloire	36	37	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.06	-12	21	-33	15.0	15.6	-0.62	16.1	17.2	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.55,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 97, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.83,1	88.7%
POR 87, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.67,0.69,1	88.7%
GSW 89, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.96,1	88.4%