NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	122		Excitement	7.0 [507]		MVP	Collin Sexton (UTA): +29.3%
Toronto Raptors	116		Comeback	88.3 [12]		LVP	Talen Horton-Tucker (UTA): -13.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0.29	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.17,0.27,0.29	0.06	0.21	-0.02	14	63%	0.39	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.04
Walker Kessler	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24	0.17	0.13	0.06	12	74%	0.24	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.04
Lauri Markkanen	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.02	0.17	0.01	20	53%	0.24	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
Kelly Olynyk	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	12	58%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	80%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Udoka Azubuike	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	11	33%	-0.07	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15	0.15	0.19	-0.03	0.01	21	71%	0.20	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	0.00	11	73%	0.18	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	20	44%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	14	40%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	44%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	13	52%	0.05	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	55%	0.02	3	-0.06	7	29%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	30.2	14.7	28.4	2.5	35.5	138.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +47.5%

UTA +11.6%

UTA +1.4%

TOR -11.5%

UTA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	13.6	14.1	14.4	117.3	111.5	113.4
season	14.3	14.7		114.4	114.0
opponent	14.5	14.1		112.2	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.7	13.2	15.6	11.7	13.6
TOR	12.9	14.5	13.2	16.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Talen Horton-Tucker	59	59	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.44	9	-3	12	13.0	14.3	-1.33	13.9	14.4	-0.55
Lauri Markkanen	82	81	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-6	18	13.8	12.6	1.23	14.5	12.9	1.62
Kelly Olynyk	67	68	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.43	8	-2	10	14.1	12.5	1.66	14.3	13.8	0.50
Walker Kessler	68	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	4	-2	14.0	12.7	1.28	14.6	13.3	1.27
Collin Sexton	80	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	5	-4	13.8	12.7	1.16	14.2	13.9	0.28
Simone Fontecchio	50	49	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.24	10	-4	14	12.7	14.3	-1.57	13.6	14.6	-0.99
Udoka Azubuike	36	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	4	-2	12.7	14.0	-1.28	13.7	14.4	-0.72
Rudy Gay	40	40	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.21	2	4	-2	12.5	14.2	-1.72	13.2	14.7	-1.56
Ochai Agbaji	38	41	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	-0.01	-16	22	-38	14.5	13.0	1.44	14.6	13.8	0.74

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Boucher	52	51	0.33	-0.82	1.15	0.18	5	-11	16	12.9	15.3	-2.38	12.4	14.6	-2.21
Jakob Poeltl	39	38	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.20	0	-6	6	12.8	14.9	-2.14	12.6	14.1	-1.54
Thaddeus Young	25	26	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.13	-3	-3	0	14.9	13.9	1.03	13.2	13.7	-0.44
Malachi Flynn	15	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-3	0	14.3	14.1	0.23	11.5	13.9	-2.38
Gary Trent Jr.	85	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.43	2	-8	10	14.0	14.6	-0.54	13.9	12.0	1.91
Scottie Barnes	84	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-4	2	14.1	14.4	-0.33	13.6	13.3	0.26
Pascal Siakam	83	83	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.44	-6	0	-6	14.6	12.3	2.26	14.0	11.8	2.19
Precious Achiuwa	64	65	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.51	-5	-1	-4	14.8	13.1	1.72	14.1	12.6	1.51
Fred VanVleet	73	74	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.37	-18	12	-30	14.5	13.3	1.16	13.9	12.7	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.77,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.79,0.45,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 77, HOU 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.79,0.56,0.16,0	91.5%
DEN 107, NOK 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.55,0.63,0	91.2%
DEN 111, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.94,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.71,0.57,0.58,0	90.6%