inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 77 Excitement7.1 [435] MVPJake Tsakalidis (HOU): +6.7%
Houston Rockets 72 Comeback25.1 [26] LVPRafer Alston (HOU): -29.6%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Delonte West0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,0.03-0.070.08-0.011347%0.144-0.118100%0.05
Rajon Rondo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00440%0.0000.0020%-0.04
Michael Olowokandi0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Ryan Gomes-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.00638%0.011-0.021100%0.00
Leon Powe-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.03,-0.14,-0.02-0.060.00-0.032348%0.135-0.151250%-0.04
Sebastian Telfair-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.01333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Al Jefferson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08-0.02-0.040.021543%-0.061-0.02757%-0.04
Brian Scalabrine-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.10-0.060.00725%-0.092-0.07250%-0.01
Gerald Green-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.16-0.03-0.0160%-0.093-0.0900%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jake Tsakalidis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.01478%0.0700.001100%0.00
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.021656%0.174-0.121669%-0.04
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
John Lucas III00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Novak00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kirk Snyder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01440%0.002-0.042100%0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.15-0.15-0.06-0.10-0.011440%-0.112-0.052100%0.01
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18-0.18-0.15-0.06-0.031127%-0.064-0.1200%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26-0.26-0.15-0.12-0.011215%-0.231-0.022100%0.01
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.29,-0.3-0.30-0.17-0.14-0.021121%-0.113-0.18650%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.81.835.215.628.11.739.1153.4
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +30.1%
HOU -2.3%
BOS +8.0%
BOS +4.4%
BOS +9.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSHOUNBABOSHOUNBA
this game14.216.415.479.478.3104.5
season15.515.6101.7103.6
opponent15.715.399.2105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.613.513.714.014.2
HOU16.415.317.016.816.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sebastian Telfair17150.84-0.341.180.3417-122911.014.8-3.8415.416.6-1.16
Paul Pierce76730.68-0.180.860.3910-51514.114.3-0.2116.216.9-0.73
Al Jefferson80760.68-0.180.850.3810-51514.114.5-0.3716.515.80.67
Delonte West88830.65-0.150.800.3012-71914.114.6-0.4316.317.1-0.82
Ryan Gomes52520.57-0.070.640.319-41314.114.3-0.2317.115.41.63
Rajon Rondo2825-0.040.54-0.570.02-27-913.014.6-1.6415.716.6-0.89
Leon Powe66-0.090.59-0.670.06-510-1519.813.86.0415.316.4-1.11
Michael Olowokandi99-0.090.59-0.69-0.01-38-1115.414.01.4117.816.21.56
Gerald Green3331-0.140.64-0.770.01-510-1514.214.10.0717.515.81.63
Kendrick Perkins4645-0.240.74-0.99-0.07-611-1714.713.61.0916.016.7-0.72
Brian Scalabrine5045-0.320.82-1.140.03-1217-2914.813.51.2715.916.8-0.90

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jake Tsakalidis41410.24-0.740.990.105-101516.716.10.6515.413.32.12
Charles Hayes25280.18-0.680.860.093-81116.416.30.1014.114.2-0.08
Kirk Snyder21230.10-0.600.700.042-7915.816.5-0.7314.714.00.75
John Lucas III230.00-0.500.510.000-558.016.6-8.560.714.6-13.93
Steve Novak22-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-558.016.6-8.560.514.5-13.95
Juwan Howard5863-0.22-0.280.05-0.313-81116.316.5-0.1613.814.9-1.15
Luther Head4248-0.25-0.250.01-0.04-72-916.216.5-0.3713.714.6-0.86
Rafer Alston7782-0.610.11-0.72-0.34-94-1316.714.91.8014.014.9-0.91
Dikembe Mutombo4646-0.610.11-0.72-0.43-61-716.416.30.0914.913.51.38
Bonzi Wells7071-0.640.14-0.78-0.46-61-716.715.41.2614.712.81.91
Shane Battier7678-0.690.19-0.88-0.40-105-1516.316.7-0.3814.114.5-0.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.79,0.56,0.16,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 110, WAS 1090.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.55,0.42,092.1%
SAC 103, DET 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.81,0.84,0.42,092.1%
BOS 98, ATL 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.76,0.85,0.68,0.17,091.6%