NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	77		Excitement	7.1 [435]		MVP	Jake Tsakalidis (HOU): +6.7%
Houston Rockets	72		Comeback	25.1 [26]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -29.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,0.03	-0.07	0.08	-0.01	13	47%	0.14	4	-0.11	8	100%	0.05
Rajon Rondo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Michael Olowokandi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.03,-0.14,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	23	48%	0.13	5	-0.15	12	50%	-0.04
Sebastian Telfair	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	15	43%	-0.06	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.04
Brian Scalabrine	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	7	25%	-0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Green	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	78%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	16	56%	0.17	4	-0.12	16	69%	-0.04
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	14	40%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-0.03	11	27%	-0.06	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.15	-0.12	-0.01	12	15%	-0.23	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.29,-0.3	-0.30	-0.17	-0.14	-0.02	11	21%	-0.11	3	-0.18	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.8	1.8	35.2	15.6	28.1	1.7	39.1	153.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +30.1%

HOU -2.3%

BOS +8.0%

BOS +4.4%

BOS +9.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	HOU	NBA	BOS	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	16.4	15.4	79.4	78.3	104.5
season	15.5	15.6		101.7	103.6
opponent	15.7	15.3		99.2	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.6	13.5	13.7	14.0	14.2
HOU	16.4	15.3	17.0	16.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	17	15	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.34	17	-12	29	11.0	14.8	-3.84	15.4	16.6	-1.16
Paul Pierce	76	73	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-5	15	14.1	14.3	-0.21	16.2	16.9	-0.73
Al Jefferson	80	76	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.38	10	-5	15	14.1	14.5	-0.37	16.5	15.8	0.67
Delonte West	88	83	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-7	19	14.1	14.6	-0.43	16.3	17.1	-0.82
Ryan Gomes	52	52	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-4	13	14.1	14.3	-0.23	17.1	15.4	1.63
Rajon Rondo	28	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	7	-9	13.0	14.6	-1.64	15.7	16.6	-0.89
Leon Powe	6	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	10	-15	19.8	13.8	6.04	15.3	16.4	-1.11
Michael Olowokandi	9	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	8	-11	15.4	14.0	1.41	17.8	16.2	1.56
Gerald Green	33	31	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	10	-15	14.2	14.1	0.07	17.5	15.8	1.63
Kendrick Perkins	46	45	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.07	-6	11	-17	14.7	13.6	1.09	16.0	16.7	-0.72
Brian Scalabrine	50	45	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.03	-12	17	-29	14.8	13.5	1.27	15.9	16.8	-0.90

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Tsakalidis	41	41	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.10	5	-10	15	16.7	16.1	0.65	15.4	13.3	2.12
Charles Hayes	25	28	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.09	3	-8	11	16.4	16.3	0.10	14.1	14.2	-0.08
Kirk Snyder	21	23	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-7	9	15.8	16.5	-0.73	14.7	14.0	0.75
John Lucas III	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-5	5	8.0	16.6	-8.56	0.7	14.6	-13.93
Steve Novak	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-5	5	8.0	16.6	-8.56	0.5	14.5	-13.95
Juwan Howard	58	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-8	11	16.3	16.5	-0.16	13.8	14.9	-1.15
Luther Head	42	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	2	-9	16.2	16.5	-0.37	13.7	14.6	-0.86
Rafer Alston	77	82	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.34	-9	4	-13	16.7	14.9	1.80	14.0	14.9	-0.91
Dikembe Mutombo	46	46	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.43	-6	1	-7	16.4	16.3	0.09	14.9	13.5	1.38
Bonzi Wells	70	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.46	-6	1	-7	16.7	15.4	1.26	14.7	12.8	1.91
Shane Battier	76	78	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.40	-10	5	-15	16.3	16.7	-0.38	14.1	14.5	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.79,0.56,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 110, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.55,0.42,0	92.1%
SAC 103, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.81,0.84,0.42,0	92.1%
BOS 98, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.76,0.85,0.68,0.17,0	91.6%