NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	98		Excitement	6.9 [458]		MVP	Ricky Davis (BOS): +25.7%
Atlanta Hawks	94		Comeback	15.9 [48]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -32.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.23,0.26	0.01	0.24	0.00	21	47%	0.27	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.05
Delonte West	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.03	8	65%	0.08	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	10	62%	0.13	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Raef LaFrentz	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.07
Marcus Banks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15	0.04	-0.16	0.03	17	66%	0.07	6	-0.22	7	57%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.00	10	65%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	9	60%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	54%	0.07	1	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Esteban Batista	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	13	53%	0.05	5	-0.11	8	75%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.22	-0.22	-0.04	-0.19	0.00	12	53%	0.05	4	-0.27	6	100%	0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.22,-0.32	-0.32	-0.05	-0.24	0.03	18	39%	-0.29	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	31.2	15.4	25.6	2.5	34.2	136.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +31.1%

BOS +15.1%

ATL -1.2%

BOS +8.7%

ATL -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.7	17.5	15.6	108.9	105.6	104.4
season	14.8	15.6		103.3	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		109.3	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.0	18.2	11.5	14.5	14.7
ATL	18.6	15.4	17.3	19.0	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	72	72	1.02	-0.52	1.53	0.31	24	-20	44	13.7	18.3	-4.53	17.8	16.4	1.47
Brian Scalabrine	53	53	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.30	20	-16	36	13.6	16.1	-2.51	17.8	17.2	0.58
Paul Pierce	77	76	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.33	17	-13	30	14.2	17.4	-3.19	17.5	17.6	-0.09
Mark Blount	62	62	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.40	14	-10	24	14.3	15.5	-1.28	17.6	17.4	0.24
Ricky Davis	78	78	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	-1	6	15.2	10.9	4.31	17.6	17.3	0.30
Justin Reed	2	1	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	4	-4	0.5	15.0	-14.48	6.0	17.7	-11.67
Raef LaFrentz	14	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	6	-8	16.2	14.4	1.85	19.3	17.2	2.07
Al Jefferson	11	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	7	-10	16.0	14.5	1.53	19.1	17.3	1.77
Marcus Banks	13	12	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	15	-26	16.4	14.4	2.02	12.9	18.3	-5.34
Orien Greene	11	11	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.03	-9	13	-22	12.2	15.0	-2.82	17.2	17.6	-0.41
Tony Allen	30	28	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	0.02	-17	21	-38	16.0	14.0	2.02	17.0	17.8	-0.73
Kendrick Perkins	27	27	-0.56	1.06	-1.62	-0.03	-18	22	-40	18.0	13.2	4.83	17.7	17.5	0.24

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Salim Stoudamire	29	29	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.09	6	-10	16	15.3	18.6	-3.36	16.9	13.6	3.31
Josh Smith	36	35	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.05	9	-13	22	17.1	17.8	-0.72	15.9	13.9	1.97
Marvin Williams	36	40	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.09	4	-8	12	18.8	16.7	2.17	15.5	13.9	1.61
Royal Ivey	17	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-1	-2	17.1	17.6	-0.52	13.8	14.8	-1.03
Esteban Batista	4	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	0	-4	11.2	17.8	-6.59	9.0	14.9	-5.92
Al Harrington	79	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-4	4	17.7	16.4	1.28	14.7	14.0	0.75
Tyronn Lue	43	45	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.50	2	-6	8	18.1	17.0	1.07	13.2	16.2	-3.00
Josh Childress	55	55	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.44	-4	0	-4	17.8	17.2	0.59	14.5	14.9	-0.47
Zaza Pachulia	76	77	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.36	-15	11	-26	17.7	16.8	0.81	14.2	17.3	-3.10
Joe Johnson	70	70	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.43	-15	11	-26	17.7	17.0	0.69	14.6	14.7	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.76,0.85,0.68,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 103, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.81,0.84,0.42,0	92.6%
BOS 77, HOU 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.79,0.56,0.16,0	91.6%
OKC 103, LAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.73,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.42,0	91.4%