NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	8.9 [194]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +58.4%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	3.6 [424]		LVP	Paolo Banchero (ORL): -20.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.58	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.28,0.43,0.58	0.20	0.39	0.01	13	81%	0.60	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.02
Jericho Sims	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21	0.02	0.19	-0.00	5	80%	0.25	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.10	0.01	15	60%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.01	0.11	-0.02	16	42%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Julius Randle	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.17,0.04,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	15	61%	0.22	4	-0.20	6	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	6	19%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.29,0.32,0.38	0.38	0.11	0.27	0.00	12	78%	0.45	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.06
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.13,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.03	0.17	-0.01	11	52%	0.24	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	12	64%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	4	30%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.10	0.02	9	65%	0.05	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Paolo Banchero	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.17	0.00	15	42%	-0.18	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	25.7	14.5	26.3	1.7	39.2	133.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +71.2%

ORL -14.1%

NYK +6.7%

ORL -8.5%

ORL -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	14.4	112.1	110.1	113.4
season	15.1	14.3		115.6	111.0
opponent	14.5	14.4		113.0	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.3	16.7	16.1	15.9	16.3
ORL	14.3	14.6	16.6	17.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	73	73	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.34	13	-9	22	16.0	17.5	-1.51	15.9	14.8	1.09
Immanuel Quickley	60	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-5	14	15.7	17.4	-1.62	15.8	15.6	0.15
Jericho Sims	68	63	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.55	1	3	-2	16.1	16.8	-0.66	16.1	14.8	1.22
Julius Randle	69	67	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.29	9	-5	14	14.9	20.6	-5.68	14.9	18.2	-3.29
RJ Barrett	62	64	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.54	-9	13	-22	17.7	13.2	4.47	15.9	15.3	0.60
Quentin Grimes	62	60	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	1	2	15.2	18.7	-3.48	14.6	18.0	-3.35
Isaiah Hartenstein	23	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.21	6	-2	8	16.7	16.1	0.61	17.0	15.3	1.78
Obi Toppin	22	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	9	-14	20.6	14.9	5.68	18.2	14.9	3.29
Miles McBride	16	16	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.04	-7	11	-18	18.6	15.8	2.76	14.8	15.9	-1.09

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Anthony	36	38	0.26	-0.76	1.03	0.03	8	-12	20	15.1	16.2	-1.10	17.5	15.4	2.08
Bol Bol	24	26	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.06	1	-5	6	16.6	15.4	1.26	17.5	15.8	1.70
Moritz Wagner	30	32	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-3	2	16.4	15.4	1.04	17.3	15.7	1.58
Jalen Suggs	36	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-2	0	16.6	15.1	1.42	17.1	15.7	1.34
Jonathan Isaac	20	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	3	-10	18.1	15.0	3.15	15.6	16.5	-0.86
Gary Harris	53	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-4	4	15.1	16.6	-1.42	16.0	16.6	-0.59
Franz Wagner	62	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-2	0	15.1	17.1	-2.01	16.2	16.4	-0.14
Wendell Carter Jr.	59	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	-1	-2	15.4	16.4	-1.04	15.7	17.3	-1.58
Paolo Banchero	65	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.41	-7	3	-10	15.4	16.6	-1.26	15.6	18.2	-2.64
Markelle Fultz	60	60	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.43	-7	3	-10	15.9	15.3	0.64	15.8	17.2	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, VAN 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.42,0	93.3%
MIA 101, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.28,0	92.1%
IND 102, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.46,0.31,0.42,0	92.1%