NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	112		Excitement	8.9 [188]		MVP	Aaron Nesmith (IND): +22.6%
Indiana Pacers	111		Comeback	21.8 [115]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (LAL): -37.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.12	0.05	0.10	0.03	27	53%	0.18	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.31,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	19	65%	0.32	3	-0.21	2	100%	0.07
Thomas Bryant	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	4	110%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lonnie Walker IV	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.20
Dennis Schroder	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	8	60%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Troy Brown Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	9	33%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Russell Westbrook	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.22	-0.16	-0.01	16	25%	-0.20	4	-0.18	8	75%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.23	0.00	0.01	12	96%	0.25	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.08	0.08	-0.06	0.13	-0.01	8	44%	0.15	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.15	-0.08	-0.01	11	83%	0.20	1	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	10	55%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.21,0.21,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	11	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24	-0.24	0.01	-0.24	0.01	24	54%	-0.06	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.7	24.2	14.4	26.6	2.4	37.4	133.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -16.9%

LAL +3.3%

LAL +55.1%

LAL +2.0%

LAL +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	IND	NBA	LAL	IND	NBA
this game	13.5	13.5	14.4	105.7	104.7	113.4
season	14.1	13.7		113.1	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.2		116.4	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	13.6	11.0	14.4	13.5
IND	12.5	12.6	13.1	16.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	60	60	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.50	16	-15	31	14.5	12.2	2.40	14.3	12.6	1.66
Russell Westbrook	72	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.54	0	1	-1	12.5	15.6	-3.02	13.7	13.3	0.37
LeBron James	73	70	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.65	-4	5	-9	14.3	11.8	2.46	13.6	13.5	0.11
Dennis Schroder	80	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.55	-3	4	-7	13.7	12.8	0.88	13.5	13.6	-0.09
Anthony Davis	77	77	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.56	-6	7	-13	13.5	13.6	-0.11	13.4	14.1	-0.72
Thomas Bryant	26	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	-3	7	12.8	13.7	-0.88	13.6	13.5	0.09
Lonnie Walker IV	40	41	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.17	5	-4	9	12.6	14.1	-1.50	14.1	13.2	0.90
Rui Hachimura	64	63	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	5	-9	14.2	12.5	1.75	12.6	15.0	-2.44
Troy Brown Jr.	38	41	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.17	-3	4	-7	12.1	14.3	-2.19	13.6	13.5	0.02

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	38	37	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.09	1	-2	3	13.1	13.8	-0.77	12.5	14.0	-1.49
Bennedict Mathurin	46	44	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.23	-4	3	-7	14.1	13.1	0.92	12.4	14.3	-1.96
Chris Duarte	13	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.14	-8	7	-15	14.5	13.4	1.04	13.9	13.5	0.45
Oshae Brissett	19	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.18	-11	10	-21	15.7	13.1	2.67	14.1	13.4	0.72
Daniel Theis	16	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.20	-12	11	-23	15.1	13.3	1.78	13.5	13.5	-0.01
Myles Turner	69	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.78	18	-19	37	12.8	14.9	-2.11	13.8	12.8	1.01
Andrew Nembhard	74	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.62	7	-8	15	13.0	14.7	-1.68	13.3	14.1	-0.87
Buddy Hield	81	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.59	3	-4	7	13.3	14.5	-1.22	13.6	13.1	0.50
Aaron Nesmith	76	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.70	6	-7	13	13.4	13.9	-0.54	14.1	11.9	2.20
Tyrese Haliburton	77	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.61	2	-3	5	13.7	13.1	0.66	14.0	12.2	1.78
Isaiah Jackson	35	34	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.50	-13	12	-25	15.7	12.5	3.28	12.7	13.9	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.75,0.54,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 102, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.75,0.64,0.57,0.42,0	92.9%
DAL 91, CHH 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.42,0	92.7%
DEN 111, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.94,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.71,0.57,0.58,0	92.0%