NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	119		Excitement	7.9 [344]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +59.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	113		Comeback	4.5 [435]		LVP	Josh Hart (POR): -14.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Mobley	0.22	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22	0.06	0.13	-0.03	12	57%	0.22	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Jarrett Allen	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	17	67%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Donovan Mitchell	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.17	0.03	0.14	0.00	23	52%	0.26	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
Isaac Okoro	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	4	100%	0.20	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Ricky Rubio	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.01	5	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Garland	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	12	59%	0.18	4	-0.14	10	80%	0.03
Lamar Stevens	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Cedi Osman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.46,0.43,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59	0.59	0.33	0.28	0.02	28	70%	0.61	1	-0.02	15	87%	0.07
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.10	0.01	10	75%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.09	0.00	16	56%	0.04	4	-0.12	7	57%	-0.02
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	10	57%	0.04	4	-0.17	1	0%	-0.02
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	5	36%	-0.05	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	27.8	14.4	31.3	2.0	34.2	138.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +17.6%

POR -0.2%

CLE +10.7%

CLE +23.9%

POR -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	POR	NBA	CLE	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	13.4	14.4	116.7	110.8	113.4
season	15.1	14.7		114.0	113.4
opponent	14.1	14.7		117.3	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.9	15.2	15.4	15.0	14.8
POR	11.8	12.5	13.4	16.3	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Mitchell	75	76	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.33	10	-4	14	14.5	15.8	-1.32	13.7	12.5	1.25
Jarrett Allen	82	82	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-1	8	14.4	16.7	-2.37	13.9	11.4	2.48
Evan Mobley	50	51	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	0	6	15.2	14.5	0.74	14.4	12.4	1.96
Darius Garland	67	68	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-1	8	14.8	14.9	-0.15	14.7	10.7	4.07
Caris LeVert	67	67	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.43	0	6	-6	15.2	14.1	1.07	12.3	15.4	-3.10
Ricky Rubio	25	24	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.10	6	0	6	13.8	15.2	-1.38	11.8	13.9	-2.04
Cedi Osman	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	3	0	13.9	15.1	-1.17	12.0	13.7	-1.71
Isaac Okoro	63	64	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.19	4	2	2	14.1	16.0	-1.87	13.7	12.8	0.88
Kevin Love	33	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	10	-14	16.8	13.9	2.83	11.8	14.1	-2.23
Lamar Stevens	29	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.07	-9	15	-24	16.6	14.2	2.44	11.8	14.0	-2.17

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaedon Sharpe	45	47	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.00	6	-12	18	11.8	14.6	-2.77	15.9	14.0	1.87
Jabari Walker	16	17	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.12	-1	-5	4	11.6	13.7	-2.17	14.7	14.9	-0.16
Drew Eubanks	36	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.14	-7	1	-8	11.8	14.3	-2.49	14.5	15.1	-0.60
Anfernee Simons	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	4	-14	14.0	12.2	1.74	13.7	17.3	-3.68
Damian Lillard	85	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.37	-2	-4	2	13.5	12.8	0.75	15.1	13.8	1.29
Gary Payton II	42	40	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-3	0	13.1	13.6	-0.46	17.1	13.4	3.75
Jusuf Nurkic	66	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-7	8	14.3	11.8	2.49	15.1	14.5	0.60
Jerami Grant	78	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	-3	0	13.7	12.3	1.44	14.8	14.9	-0.09
Josh Hart	73	73	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.32	-11	5	-16	13.9	12.2	1.66	13.8	17.3	-3.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.53,0.74,0.76,0.53,0.31,0.21,0.33,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, SAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.53,0.39,0.28,0.17,0.05,0	93.0%
POR 112, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.46,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.02,0	91.0%
OKC 111, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.04,0	91.0%