NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	111		Excitement	9.2 [153]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +40.2%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	21.2 [71]		LVP	Isaiah Hartenstein (NYK): -7.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.03,0.03,0.31	0.02	0.30	0.01	14	50%	0.33	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.17,0.23	-0.00	0.21	-0.03	16	52%	0.32	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Pat Connaughton	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.01	8	69%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
MarJon Beauchamp	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	6	73%	0.10	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,-0.04,-0.04	0.07	-0.09	0.02	14	61%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	15	52%	0.04	4	-0.09	12	75%	-0.01
Jevon Carter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.3,0.4	0.40	0.18	0.25	0.03	30	63%	0.52	3	-0.12	10	100%	0.05
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.03	0.01	14	74%	0.20	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	37%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	29	38%	0.06	3	-0.12	7	86%	-0.05
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.3	26.7	15.5	28.6	2.6	34.6	138.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +52.8%

NYK -13.6%

MIL +17.6%

NYK -8.8%

MIL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	13.6	16.7	14.4	118.1	111.5	113.4
season	14.0	15.1		113.8	115.6
opponent	14.4	14.2		112.9	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.7	13.7	12.9	15.2	13.6
NYK	14.0	21.2	17.7	14.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	55	59	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.48	14	-10	24	12.8	14.7	-1.87	16.7	16.8	-0.12
Jrue Holiday	66	66	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	-3	10	14.4	11.6	2.75	16.4	17.4	-0.96
Giannis Antetokounmpo	71	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-5	14	13.7	13.1	0.59	16.6	17.0	-0.38
Brook Lopez	64	64	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	7	-10	14.0	12.6	1.43	17.0	16.2	0.78
Pat Connaughton	60	62	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	3	-2	14.5	12.0	2.47	16.2	17.6	-1.32
MarJon Beauchamp	19	22	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	-1	6	12.9	13.7	-0.85	18.6	16.1	2.50
Grayson Allen	59	58	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.37	-11	15	-26	14.1	12.7	1.46	15.8	18.1	-2.23
Jevon Carter	36	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	4	-4	11.6	14.8	-3.23	17.3	16.3	0.92
Bobby Portis	40	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	6	-8	12.3	14.5	-2.26	17.5	16.2	1.27

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Fournier	26	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-5	6	17.4	16.5	0.93	15.5	12.8	2.69
Isaiah Hartenstein	21	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-1	-2	16.7	16.7	-0.05	12.4	13.9	-1.43
Obi Toppin	16	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	2	-8	17.8	16.5	1.32	13.7	13.5	0.19
Immanuel Quickley	86	84	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.42	5	-9	14	16.5	18.3	-1.78	13.9	10.5	3.44
Julius Randle	80	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-6	8	16.5	17.8	-1.32	13.5	13.7	-0.19
Miles McBride	27	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	7	-18	18.4	16.0	2.36	13.5	13.6	-0.08
Jalen Brunson	79	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.32	-2	-2	0	16.3	18.5	-2.14	13.2	15.3	-2.10
Mitchell Robinson	75	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-3	2	16.7	16.7	0.05	14.1	11.9	2.15
Quentin Grimes	70	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	1	-6	16.5	17.4	-0.93	12.6	16.0	-3.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.79,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.85,0.7,0.84,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.69,0.45,0.43,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, VAN 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.89,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.54,0.37,0.31,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.08,0	91.9%
ORL 88, TOR 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.59,0.53,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.27,0	91.1%
IND 97, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.43,0	90.3%