NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	125		Excitement	7.6 [408]		MVP	Markelle Fultz (ORL): +61.8%
Atlanta Hawks	126		Comeback	3.2 [530]		LVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): -3.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markelle Fultz	0.62	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.62	0.09	0.51	-0.02	19	63%	0.67	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Mo Bamba	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	6	79%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Admiral Schofield	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	-0.00	5	82%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paolo Banchero	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	15	53%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Kevon Harris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Bol Bol	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Franz Wagner	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	18	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dejounte Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.61	0.61	-0.06	0.57	-0.10	18	45%	0.60	3	0.01	2	100%	0.19
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.07	0.02	22	66%	0.30	4	-0.10	12	100%	0.07
AJ Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.07	-0.00	13	73%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	7	69%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	11	67%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.04	7	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	12	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	25.4	14.5	26.3	2.4	43.3	138.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -27.0%

ATL +57.4%

ORL -5.3%

ATL +5.7%

ATL +19.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	ATL	NBA	ORL	ATL	NBA
this game	13.8	14.5	14.4	121.4	124.8	113.4
season	14.3	13.8		111.0	115.1
opponent	14.4	14.5		114.9	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.1	15.0	14.2	12.8	13.8
ATL	15.2	14.3	13.5	14.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Harris	20	20	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-10	19	11.1	14.4	-3.32	13.8	14.6	-0.83
Bol Bol	51	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	1	-3	14.0	13.6	0.40	12.9	15.9	-2.95
Mo Bamba	36	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-2	3	14.3	13.5	0.86	16.2	13.5	2.69
Admiral Schofield	28	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-1	1	14.0	13.7	0.36	15.1	14.2	0.88
Franz Wagner	74	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.49	9	-10	19	13.2	15.2	-1.99	15.1	12.8	2.27
Markelle Fultz	74	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.37	5	-6	11	13.4	14.7	-1.22	13.6	16.8	-3.26
Paolo Banchero	75	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	0	-1	13.7	14.0	-0.36	14.2	15.1	-0.88
Moritz Wagner	67	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	1	-3	13.5	14.3	-0.86	13.5	16.2	-2.69
Cole Anthony	38	39	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.16	-9	8	-17	15.3	12.9	2.40	17.0	12.9	4.17
Terrence Ross	52	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	14	-29	14.8	12.7	2.04	14.6	14.3	0.31

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	45	46	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.81	-3	4	-7	13.5	15.2	-1.76	13.3	14.2	-0.85
Trae Young	77	80	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.58	4	-3	7	14.4	14.6	-0.21	13.1	16.0	-2.86
AJ Griffin	49	51	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-14	29	15.1	13.8	1.32	15.0	12.6	2.42
Dejounte Murray	82	82	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.42	-2	3	-5	13.7	17.8	-4.16	13.6	14.3	-0.64
De'Andre Hunter	78	80	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.36	-2	3	-5	14.1	15.8	-1.76	13.1	16.1	-3.03
Aaron Holiday	19	21	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	-2	5	17.8	13.7	4.16	14.3	13.6	0.64
Jalen Johnson	24	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.09	1	0	1	15.2	14.2	1.03	15.7	13.2	2.46
Onyeka Okongwu	56	56	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.19	4	-3	7	15.2	13.5	1.76	14.3	13.1	1.19
Bogdan Bogdanovic	75	75	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.32	-15	16	-31	14.2	15.1	-0.88	13.6	14.2	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.87,0.7,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 103, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.97,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.2%
MEM 97, SAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.65,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.0%
DET 83, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%