NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	6.0 [595]		MVP	Chris Gatling (CLE): +15.5%
Sacramento Kings	108		Comeback	1.4 [1129]		LVP	Jim Jackson (CLE): -19.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Gatling	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.19	0.03	0.06	25	75%	0.26	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etdrick Bohannon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	12	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Robert Traylor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	0.06	20	59%	0.00	5	-0.11	9	100%	0.03
Lamond Murray	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	15	32%	-0.07	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.04	0.02	11	23%	-0.17	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	-0.01	-0.03	17	67%	0.18	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	17	67%	0.15	5	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.04	0.03	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.15,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	30	45%	0.02	5	-0.10	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	26.4	18.5	24.4	2.4	29.6	125.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +44.3%

SAC +5.0%

SAC +6.0%

CLE -7.8%

SAC +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAC	NBA	CLE	SAC	NBA
this game	14.4	14.0	15.5	101.0	106.9	100.9
season	15.3	14.4		98.4	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.6		97.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.2	14.6	15.7	14.2	14.4
SAC	11.1	14.8	15.6	15.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Etdrick Bohannon	2	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	10.0	14.4	-4.44	23.0	13.9	9.07
Trajan Langdon	22	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-6	7	16.3	13.8	2.51	15.8	13.6	2.20
Anthony Johnson	16	15	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	4	-13	17.2	13.8	3.36	16.3	13.6	2.64
Cedric Henderson	10	8	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	4	-13	17.1	14.1	3.05	14.0	14.0	-0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	79	81	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.33	2	-7	9	14.2	14.9	-0.72	14.3	12.9	1.40
Andre Miller	86	86	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	-0.39	4	-9	13	13.8	17.2	-3.36	13.6	16.3	-2.64
Lamond Murray	86	88	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-8	11	13.8	17.2	-3.44	14.0	14.0	0.02
Chris Gatling	86	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.45	4	-9	13	14.4	14.1	0.27	14.4	11.9	2.55
Jim Jackson	86	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	0	-5	14.1	15.9	-1.81	13.6	16.3	-2.72
Robert Traylor	37	35	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	11	-27	14.8	14.1	0.76	12.1	15.0	-2.87

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	62	61	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.37	7	-2	9	15.1	12.4	2.71	14.0	14.9	-0.92
Peja Stojakovic	90	90	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-2	9	13.7	17.0	-3.34	14.0	17.2	-3.28
Chris Webber	95	96	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	-1	7	14.1	12.5	1.62	14.3	15.0	-0.69
Jason Williams	82	82	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	4	-3	13.6	15.8	-2.18	13.5	18.0	-4.60
Jon Barry	23	23	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.00	9	-4	13	15.3	13.6	1.72	16.9	13.6	3.31
Doug Christie	78	79	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.35	-4	9	-13	13.6	15.3	-1.72	13.6	16.9	-3.31
Bobby Jackson	19	20	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	1	3	15.8	13.6	2.18	18.0	13.5	4.60
Hedo Turkoglu	11	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	7	-9	17.0	13.7	3.34	17.2	14.0	3.28
Vlade Divac	45	47	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	8	-11	12.4	15.3	-2.96	14.9	13.9	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.97,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, TOR 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.7,0.89,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.94,1,1	94.0%
WAS 80, LAL 91	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	93.8%
DET 83, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%